Predictions › United States › Maryland Terrapins vs Nebraska Cornhuskers
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 16:00 United States time

Maryland Terrapins vs Nebraska Cornhuskers prediction

Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)

Maryland TerrapinsAway
19.2 : 33.2
projected points
Nebraska CornhuskersHome
20%Maryland
80%Nebraska
Eagle safe pickMaryland +24.5
-300

Quick answer

Our prediction for Maryland Terrapins vs Nebraska Cornhuskers is Nebraska Cornhuskers to win, with a 80% chance. We project Maryland Terrapins 19.2 and Nebraska Cornhuskers 33.2. Our best bet is Maryland +24.5 at -300.

Prediction
Nebraska Cornhuskers to win
Chance
80%
Projected score
Maryland Terrapins 19, Nebraska Cornhuskers 33
Projected total
52.4 points
Best bet
Maryland +24.5 at -300

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Maryland +24.5
75% chanceFair price -3002 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nebraska Cornhuskers 80% and Maryland Terrapins 20%. The bookmakers agree and make Nebraska Cornhuskers the favourite at -625.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nebraska Cornhuskers won 4 of their last 5 and Maryland Terrapins won 2 of their last 5. Nebraska Cornhuskers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nebraska Cornhuskers won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Maryland Terrapins won 2 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Nebraska Cornhuskers score 30.3 points a game and let in 23.4. Maryland Terrapins score 25.1 and let in 28.9. Their recent games average 53.7 and 54.1 points in total, and the market line is 52.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Nebraska Cornhuskers won 1 and Maryland Terrapins won 0. The last one ended Maryland Terrapins 31, Nebraska Cornhuskers 34.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Maryland +24.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nebraskarest between games-5%
  • Marylandrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Maryland Terrapins vs Nebraska Cornhuskers: Nebraska Cornhuskers are favourites

The big picture

Nebraska Cornhuskers host Maryland Terrapins in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 16:00 at Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE). Our prediction for Maryland Terrapins vs Nebraska Cornhuskers is Nebraska Cornhuskers to win, with a 80% chance. We project Maryland Terrapins 19.2 and Nebraska Cornhuskers 33.2. Our best bet is Maryland +24.5 at -300.

Nebraska Cornhuskers form

Nebraska Cornhuskers have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 455 points scored and 351 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Maryland Terrapins form

Maryland Terrapins have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 352 points scored and 405 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Nebraska Cornhuskers won 1, Maryland Terrapins won 0. Last time out it finished Maryland Terrapins 31, Nebraska Cornhuskers 34.

Our call

We expect Maryland Terrapins to score about 19.2 points and Nebraska Cornhuskers about 33.2. That points to Nebraska Cornhuskers to win. Our safest bet is Maryland +24.5 at -300.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

NebraskaMaryland
Games played1514
Wins94
Losses610
Points scored455352
Points conceded351405
Scored per game30.325.1
Conceded per game23.428.9
Home record6W 3L2W 6L
Away record3W 3L2W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Nebraska to win80%-395-625-7.5%
Maryland to win18%+467+455-2.1%
Nebraska -14.546%+120-108-12.3%
Maryland +14.548%+107-112-8.8%
Over 52.5 points47%+114-105-8.8%
Under 52.5 points47%+113-115-12.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Nebraska spreadCoversFair
Nebraska -20.534%+193
Nebraska -16.544%+129
Nebraska -13.551%-105
Nebraska -10.559%-141
Nebraska -6.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
45.567%33%
49.557%43%
52.550%50%
55.542%58%
59.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Nebraska +3.5 wins if Nebraska win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Maryland Terrapins vs Nebraska Cornhuskers?

Our prediction for Maryland Terrapins vs Nebraska Cornhuskers is Nebraska Cornhuskers to win, with a 80% chance. We project Maryland Terrapins 19.2 and Nebraska Cornhuskers 33.2. Our best bet is Maryland +24.5 at -300.

What is the projected score for Maryland Terrapins vs Nebraska Cornhuskers?

We project Maryland Terrapins 19.2 and Nebraska Cornhuskers 33.2, about 52.4 points in total.

How are Nebraska Cornhuskers playing?

Nebraska Cornhuskers have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 455 points scored and 351 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Maryland Terrapins playing?

Maryland Terrapins have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 352 points scored and 405 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Nebraska Cornhuskers and Maryland Terrapins last met?

It ended Maryland Terrapins 31, Nebraska Cornhuskers 34. In the last 1 meeting Nebraska Cornhuskers won 1 and Maryland Terrapins won 0.

What is the best bet for Maryland Terrapins vs Nebraska Cornhuskers?

Maryland +24.5 at -300, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nebraska against Maryland. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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