Predictions › United States › Maryland Terrapins vs USC Trojans
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 18:15 United States time

Maryland Terrapins vs USC Trojans prediction

Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Maryland TerrapinsAway
23.1 : 34.0
projected points
USC TrojansHome
24%Maryland
76%USC
Eagle safe pickUSC to win
-324

Quick answer

Our prediction for Maryland Terrapins vs USC Trojans is USC Trojans to win, with a 76% chance. We project Maryland Terrapins 23.1 and USC Trojans 34.0. Our best bet is USC to win at -324.

Prediction
USC Trojans to win
Chance
76%
Projected score
Maryland Terrapins 23, USC Trojans 34
Projected total
57.1 points
Best bet
USC to win at -324

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

USC to win
76% chanceFair price -3242 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives USC Trojans 76% and Maryland Terrapins 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    USC Trojans won 3 of their last 5 and Maryland Terrapins won 1 of their last 5. USC Trojans come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    USC Trojans won 10 of their last 11 games at home. Maryland Terrapins won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    USC Trojans score 31.3 points a game and let in 24.2. Maryland Terrapins score 24.8 and let in 30.7. Their recent games average 55.5 and 55.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    USC to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Maryland Terrapins vs USC Trojans: USC Trojans are favourites

The big picture

USC Trojans host Maryland Terrapins in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 18:15 at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Our prediction for Maryland Terrapins vs USC Trojans is USC Trojans to win, with a 76% chance. We project Maryland Terrapins 23.1 and USC Trojans 34.0. Our best bet is USC to win at -324.

USC Trojans form

USC Trojans have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 625 points scored and 484 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Maryland Terrapins form

Maryland Terrapins have 5 wins and 14 losses in their last 19 games, with 472 points scored and 584 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Maryland Terrapins to score about 23.1 points and USC Trojans about 34.0. That points to USC Trojans to win. Our safest bet is USC to win at -324.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

USCMaryland
Games played2019
Wins145
Losses614
Points scored625472
Points conceded484584
Scored per game31.324.8
Conceded per game24.230.7
Home record10W 1L2W 8L
Away record4W 5L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

USC spreadCoversFair
USC -17.534%+193
USC -13.544%+129
USC -10.551%-105
USC -7.559%-141
USC -3.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
50.566%34%
54.557%43%
57.549%51%
60.542%58%
64.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. USC +3.5 wins if USC win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Maryland Terrapins vs USC Trojans?

Our prediction for Maryland Terrapins vs USC Trojans is USC Trojans to win, with a 76% chance. We project Maryland Terrapins 23.1 and USC Trojans 34.0. Our best bet is USC to win at -324.

What is the projected score for Maryland Terrapins vs USC Trojans?

We project Maryland Terrapins 23.1 and USC Trojans 34.0, about 57.1 points in total.

How are USC Trojans playing?

USC Trojans have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 625 points scored and 484 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Maryland Terrapins playing?

Maryland Terrapins have 5 wins and 14 losses in their last 19 games, with 472 points scored and 584 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Maryland Terrapins vs USC Trojans?

USC to win at -324, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in USC against Maryland. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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