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Predictions › United States › Massachusetts Minutemen vs Buffalo Bulls
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Massachusetts Minutemen vs Buffalo Bulls prediction

Broadview Stadium

Massachusetts MinutemenAway
23.3 : 25.3
projected points
Buffalo BullsHome
49%UMass
51%Buffalo
Eagle safe pickUMass +12.5
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Massachusetts Minutemen vs Buffalo Bulls is Buffalo Bulls to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Massachusetts Minutemen 23.3 and Buffalo Bulls 25.3. Our best bet is UMass +12.5 at -301.

Prediction
Buffalo Bulls to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Massachusetts Minutemen 23, Buffalo Bulls 25
Projected total
48.6 points
Best bet
UMass +12.5 at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

UMass +12.5
75% chanceFair price -3012 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

UMass to win
42% chanceFair price +1391 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Buffalo Bulls 51% and Massachusetts Minutemen 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Buffalo Bulls won 2 of their last 5 and Massachusetts Minutemen won 4 of their last 5. Massachusetts Minutemen come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Buffalo Bulls won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Massachusetts Minutemen won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Buffalo Bulls score 22.3 points a game and let in 27.1. Massachusetts Minutemen score 17.1 and let in 32.2. Their recent games average 49.4 and 49.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Buffalo Bulls won 1 and Massachusetts Minutemen won 0. The last one ended Massachusetts Minutemen 21, Buffalo Bulls 28.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    UMass +12.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Massachusetts Minutemen vs Buffalo Bulls: Buffalo Bulls shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Buffalo Bulls host Massachusetts Minutemen in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 at Broadview Stadium. Our prediction for Massachusetts Minutemen vs Buffalo Bulls is Buffalo Bulls to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Massachusetts Minutemen 23.3 and Buffalo Bulls 25.3. Our best bet is UMass +12.5 at -301.

Buffalo Bulls form

Buffalo Bulls have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 335 points scored and 406 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Massachusetts Minutemen form

Massachusetts Minutemen have 4 wins and 11 losses in their last 15 games, with 256 points scored and 483 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Buffalo Bulls won 1, Massachusetts Minutemen won 0. Last time out it finished Massachusetts Minutemen 21, Buffalo Bulls 28.

Our call

We expect Massachusetts Minutemen to score about 23.3 points and Buffalo Bulls about 25.3. That points to Buffalo Bulls to win. Our safest bet is UMass +12.5 at -301. Our bold bet is UMass to win at +139.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

BuffaloUMass
Games played1515
Wins64
Losses911
Points scored335256
Points conceded406483
Scored per game22.317.1
Conceded per game27.132.2
Home record3W 6L2W 5L
Away record3W 3L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Buffalo spreadCoversFair
Buffalo -9.532%+213
Buffalo -5.541%+142
Buffalo -2.549%+105
Buffalo +0.556%-129
Buffalo +4.566%-192
Total pointsOverUnder
41.567%33%
45.558%42%
48.550%50%
51.543%57%
55.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Buffalo +3.5 wins if Buffalo win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Massachusetts Minutemen vs Buffalo Bulls?

Our prediction for Massachusetts Minutemen vs Buffalo Bulls is Buffalo Bulls to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Massachusetts Minutemen 23.3 and Buffalo Bulls 25.3. Our best bet is UMass +12.5 at -301.

What is the projected score for Massachusetts Minutemen vs Buffalo Bulls?

We project Massachusetts Minutemen 23.3 and Buffalo Bulls 25.3, about 48.6 points in total.

How are Buffalo Bulls playing?

Buffalo Bulls have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 335 points scored and 406 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Massachusetts Minutemen playing?

Massachusetts Minutemen have 4 wins and 11 losses in their last 15 games, with 256 points scored and 483 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Buffalo Bulls and Massachusetts Minutemen last met?

It ended Massachusetts Minutemen 21, Buffalo Bulls 28. In the last 1 meeting Buffalo Bulls won 1 and Massachusetts Minutemen won 0.

What is the best bet for Massachusetts Minutemen vs Buffalo Bulls?

UMass +12.5 at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Buffalo against UMass. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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