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Predictions › United States › Massachusetts Minutemen vs Toledo Rockets
College FootballWed 11 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Massachusetts Minutemen vs Toledo Rockets prediction

Glass Bowl

Massachusetts MinutemenAway
21.7 : 35.1
projected points
Toledo RocketsHome
20%UMass
80%Toledo
Eagle safe pickToledo to win
-412

Quick answer

Our prediction for Massachusetts Minutemen vs Toledo Rockets is Toledo Rockets to win, with a 80% chance. We project Massachusetts Minutemen 21.7 and Toledo Rockets 35.1. Our best bet is Toledo to win at -412.

Prediction
Toledo Rockets to win
Chance
80%
Projected score
Massachusetts Minutemen 22, Toledo Rockets 35
Projected total
56.8 points
Best bet
Toledo to win at -412

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Toledo to win
80% chanceFair price -4122 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toledo Rockets 80% and Massachusetts Minutemen 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toledo Rockets won 4 of their last 5 and Massachusetts Minutemen won 1 of their last 5. Toledo Rockets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toledo Rockets won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Massachusetts Minutemen won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toledo Rockets score 33.6 points a game and let in 17.4. Massachusetts Minutemen score 17.2 and let in 31.3. Their recent games average 51.1 and 48.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Toledo to win has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Massachusetts Minutemen vs Toledo Rockets: Toledo Rockets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toledo Rockets host Massachusetts Minutemen in the College Football on Wed 11 Nov, 00:00 at Glass Bowl. Our prediction for Massachusetts Minutemen vs Toledo Rockets is Toledo Rockets to win, with a 80% chance. We project Massachusetts Minutemen 21.7 and Toledo Rockets 35.1. Our best bet is Toledo to win at -412.

Toledo Rockets form

Toledo Rockets have 13 wins and 6 losses in their last 19 games, with 639 points scored and 331 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Massachusetts Minutemen form

Massachusetts Minutemen have 4 wins and 14 losses in their last 18 games, with 309 points scored and 563 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Massachusetts Minutemen to score about 21.7 points and Toledo Rockets about 35.1. That points to Toledo Rockets to win. Our safest bet is Toledo to win at -412.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

ToledoUMass
Games played1918
Wins134
Losses614
Points scored639309
Points conceded331563
Scored per game33.617.2
Conceded per game17.431.3
Home record9W 1L2W 6L
Away record4W 5L2W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Toledo spreadCoversFair
Toledo -20.533%+204
Toledo -16.542%+136
Toledo -13.550%+101
Toledo -10.557%-134
Toledo -6.567%-200
Total pointsOverUnder
49.567%33%
53.558%42%
56.551%49%
59.543%57%
63.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Toledo +3.5 wins if Toledo win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Massachusetts Minutemen vs Toledo Rockets?

Our prediction for Massachusetts Minutemen vs Toledo Rockets is Toledo Rockets to win, with a 80% chance. We project Massachusetts Minutemen 21.7 and Toledo Rockets 35.1. Our best bet is Toledo to win at -412.

What is the projected score for Massachusetts Minutemen vs Toledo Rockets?

We project Massachusetts Minutemen 21.7 and Toledo Rockets 35.1, about 56.8 points in total.

How are Toledo Rockets playing?

Toledo Rockets have 13 wins and 6 losses in their last 19 games, with 639 points scored and 331 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Massachusetts Minutemen playing?

Massachusetts Minutemen have 4 wins and 14 losses in their last 18 games, with 309 points scored and 563 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Massachusetts Minutemen vs Toledo Rockets?

Toledo to win at -412, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Toledo against UMass. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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