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Predictions › United States › Massachusetts Minutemen vs UConn Huskies
College FootballFri 23 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Massachusetts Minutemen vs UConn Huskies prediction

Pratt & Whitney Stadium

Massachusetts MinutemenAway
24.2 : 32.8
projected points
UConn HuskiesHome
27%UMass
73%UConn
Eagle safe pickOver 46.5 points
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Massachusetts Minutemen vs UConn Huskies is UConn Huskies to win, with a 73% chance. We project Massachusetts Minutemen 24.2 and UConn Huskies 32.8. Our best bet is Over 46.5 points at -299.

Prediction
UConn Huskies to win
Chance
73%
Projected score
Massachusetts Minutemen 24, UConn Huskies 33
Projected total
57.0 points
Best bet
Over 46.5 points at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 46.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

UMass to win
27% chanceFair price +2711 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UConn Huskies 73% and Massachusetts Minutemen 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UConn Huskies won 2 of their last 5 and Massachusetts Minutemen won 3 of their last 5. Massachusetts Minutemen come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UConn Huskies won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Massachusetts Minutemen won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    UConn Huskies score 34.9 points a game and let in 27.2. Massachusetts Minutemen score 17.2 and let in 31.4. Their recent games average 62.1 and 48.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 46.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Massachusetts Minutemen vs UConn Huskies: UConn Huskies are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

UConn Huskies host Massachusetts Minutemen in the College Football on Fri 23 Oct, 19:00 at Pratt & Whitney Stadium. Our prediction for Massachusetts Minutemen vs UConn Huskies is UConn Huskies to win, with a 73% chance. We project Massachusetts Minutemen 24.2 and UConn Huskies 32.8. Our best bet is Over 46.5 points at -299.

UConn Huskies form

UConn Huskies have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 594 points scored and 462 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Massachusetts Minutemen form

Massachusetts Minutemen have 4 wins and 12 losses in their last 16 games, with 275 points scored and 503 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Massachusetts Minutemen to score about 24.2 points and UConn Huskies about 32.8. That points to UConn Huskies to win. Our safest bet is Over 46.5 points at -299. Our bold bet is UMass to win at +271.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

UConnUMass
Games played1716
Wins114
Losses612
Points scored594275
Points conceded462503
Scored per game34.917.2
Conceded per game27.231.4
Home record6W 2L2W 6L
Away record5W 4L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UConn spreadCoversFair
UConn -15.533%+199
UConn -11.543%+133
UConn -8.550%-102
UConn -5.558%-137
UConn -1.567%-206
Total pointsOverUnder
49.568%32%
53.559%41%
56.551%49%
59.544%56%
63.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UConn +3.5 wins if UConn win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Massachusetts Minutemen vs UConn Huskies?

Our prediction for Massachusetts Minutemen vs UConn Huskies is UConn Huskies to win, with a 73% chance. We project Massachusetts Minutemen 24.2 and UConn Huskies 32.8. Our best bet is Over 46.5 points at -299.

What is the projected score for Massachusetts Minutemen vs UConn Huskies?

We project Massachusetts Minutemen 24.2 and UConn Huskies 32.8, about 57.0 points in total.

How are UConn Huskies playing?

UConn Huskies have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 594 points scored and 462 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Massachusetts Minutemen playing?

Massachusetts Minutemen have 4 wins and 12 losses in their last 16 games, with 275 points scored and 503 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Massachusetts Minutemen vs UConn Huskies?

Over 46.5 points at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UConn against UMass. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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