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Predictions › Australia › Melbourne City FC vs Sydney FC
A-LeagueSat 31 Oct, 06:00 Australia time

Melbourne City FC vs Sydney FC prediction

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne City FCHome
1.03 : 0.96
expected goals
Sydney FCAway
36%Melbourne C
33%Draw
32%Sydney FC
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Melbourne City FC vs Sydney FC is Melbourne City FC to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Melbourne City FC to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Melbourne City FC 1.0, Sydney FC 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
14% chanceFair price 6.931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Melbourne City FC 36%, the draw 33% and Sydney FC 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Melbourne City FC took 7 points from their last 5 games and Sydney FC took 6 from 5. Melbourne City FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Melbourne City FC won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Sydney FC won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Melbourne City FC score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Sydney FC score 0.9 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Melbourne City FC games and 6 of Sydney FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Melbourne City FC won 1 and Sydney FC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Sydney FC 0, Melbourne City FC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sydney FCrecent form+1%
Melbourne C form D L L W WSydney FC form D L W D WHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Melbourne City FC vs Sydney FC: Melbourne City FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Melbourne City FC host Sydney FC in the A-League on Sat 31 Oct, 06:00 at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium. Our prediction for Melbourne City FC vs Sydney FC is Melbourne City FC to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Melbourne City FC form

Melbourne City FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Sydney FC form

Sydney FC have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Melbourne City FC won 1, Sydney FC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Sydney FC 0, Melbourne City FC 1.

Our call

We expect Melbourne City FC to score about 1.0 goals and Sydney FC about 1.0. That points to Melbourne City FC to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.93.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Melbourne CSydney FC
Games played2020
Wins75
Draws68
Losses77
Goals scored2618
Goals conceded3121
Scored per game1.30.9
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record5W 2D 4L2W 6D 4L
Away record2W 4D 3L3W 2D 3L
Clean sheets25%35%
Both teams scored65%40%
Over 2.5 goals55%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals60%1.67
Over 2.5 goals32%3.11
Over 3.5 goals14%7.05
Both teams to score41%2.46
Melbourne City FC or Draw68%1.47
Sydney FC or Draw64%1.56
Melbourne City FC to win and Over 2.515%6.59
Sydney FC to win and Over 2.513%7.55
Melbourne City FC clean sheet38%2.61
Sydney FC clean sheet36%2.82

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-014.4%
1-114.3%
1-013.3%
0-112.2%
2-07.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Melbourne City FC vs Sydney FC?

Our prediction for Melbourne City FC vs Sydney FC is Melbourne City FC to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Melbourne City FC vs Sydney FC?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-0. We expect Melbourne City FC to score 1.0 goals and Sydney FC 1.0.

Will both teams score in Melbourne City FC vs Sydney FC?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Melbourne City FC last 20 games and 8 of Sydney FC last 20.

How are Melbourne City FC playing?

Melbourne City FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Sydney FC playing?

Sydney FC have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Melbourne City FC and Sydney FC last met?

It ended Sydney FC 0, Melbourne City FC 1. In the last 2 meetings Melbourne City FC won 1 and Sydney FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Melbourne City FC vs Sydney FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Melbourne C against Sydney FC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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