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Predictions › Australia › Melbourne City FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC
A-LeagueSat 7 Nov, 08:40 Australia time

Melbourne City FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC prediction

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne City FCHome
1.50 : 0.98
expected goals
Western Sydney Wanderers FCAway
48%Melbourne C
28%Draw
24%Western Sydney
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Melbourne City FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC is Melbourne City FC to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Melbourne City FC to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Melbourne City FC 1.5, Western Sydney Wanderers FC 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Melbourne City FC to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.801 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Melbourne City FC 48%, the draw 28% and Western Sydney Wanderers FC 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Melbourne City FC took 5 points from their last 5 games and Western Sydney Wanderers FC took 4 from 5. Melbourne City FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Melbourne City FC won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Western Sydney Wanderers FC won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Melbourne City FC score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Western Sydney Wanderers FC score 1.3 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Melbourne City FC games and 12 of Western Sydney Wanderers FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Melbourne City FC won 1 and Western Sydney Wanderers FC won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Melbourne City FC 3, Western Sydney Wanderers FC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Melbourne Crecent form-3%
  • Western Sydneyrecent form-4%
Melbourne C form D L L L WWestern Sydney form D D L L LHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Melbourne City FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Melbourne City FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Melbourne City FC host Western Sydney Wanderers FC in the A-League on Sat 7 Nov, 08:40 at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium. Our prediction for Melbourne City FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC is Melbourne City FC to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Melbourne City FC form

Melbourne City FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Western Sydney Wanderers FC form

Western Sydney Wanderers FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Melbourne City FC won 1, Western Sydney Wanderers FC won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Melbourne City FC 3, Western Sydney Wanderers FC 0.

Our call

We expect Melbourne City FC to score about 1.5 goals and Western Sydney Wanderers FC about 1.0. That points to Melbourne City FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Melbourne City FC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.80.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Melbourne CWestern Sydney
Games played2020
Wins74
Draws64
Losses712
Goals scored2626
Goals conceded3137
Scored per game1.31.3
Conceded per game1.61.9
Home record5W 1D 4L2W 2D 6L
Away record2W 5D 3L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored65%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.22
Over 3.5 goals24%4.21
Both teams to score49%2.03
Melbourne City FC or Draw76%1.32
Western Sydney Wanderers FC or Draw52%1.94
Melbourne City FC to win and Over 2.527%3.68
Western Sydney Wanderers FC to win and Over 2.513%7.99
Melbourne City FC clean sheet37%2.67
Western Sydney Wanderers FC clean sheet22%4.46

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-011.8%
2-09.4%
2-19.2%
0-09.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Melbourne City FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC?

Our prediction for Melbourne City FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC is Melbourne City FC to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Melbourne City FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Melbourne City FC to score 1.5 goals and Western Sydney Wanderers FC 1.0.

Will both teams score in Melbourne City FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Melbourne City FC last 20 games and 11 of Western Sydney Wanderers FC last 20.

How are Melbourne City FC playing?

Melbourne City FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Western Sydney Wanderers FC playing?

Western Sydney Wanderers FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Melbourne City FC and Western Sydney Wanderers FC last met?

It ended Melbourne City FC 3, Western Sydney Wanderers FC 0. In the last 3 meetings Melbourne City FC won 1 and Western Sydney Wanderers FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Melbourne City FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Melbourne C against Western Sydney. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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