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Predictions › Australia › Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners
A-LeagueSun 1 Nov, 04:00 Australia time

Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners prediction

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne VictoryHome
2.04 : 1.18
expected goals
Central Coast MarinersAway
57%Melbourne V
22%Draw
21%CC Mariners
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners is Melbourne Victory to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
Melbourne Victory to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Melbourne Victory 2.0, Central Coast Mariners 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Melbourne Victory to win and Over 2.5
41% chanceFair price 2.411 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Melbourne Victory 57%, the draw 22% and Central Coast Mariners 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Melbourne Victory took 5 points from their last 5 games and Central Coast Mariners took 5 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Melbourne Victory won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Central Coast Mariners won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Melbourne Victory score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.2. Central Coast Mariners score 1.4 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Melbourne Victory games and 15 of Central Coast Mariners games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Melbourne Victory won 1 and Central Coast Mariners won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Melbourne Victory 4, Central Coast Mariners 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Melbourne Vrecent form+1%
  • CC Marinersrecent form-1%
Melbourne V form D W D L WCC Mariners form D L W D LHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners: Melbourne Victory are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Melbourne Victory host Central Coast Mariners in the A-League on Sun 1 Nov, 04:00 at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium. Our prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners is Melbourne Victory to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Melbourne Victory form

Melbourne Victory have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Central Coast Mariners form

Central Coast Mariners have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Melbourne Victory won 1, Central Coast Mariners won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Melbourne Victory 4, Central Coast Mariners 1.

Our call

We expect Melbourne Victory to score about 2.0 goals and Central Coast Mariners about 1.2. That points to Melbourne Victory to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Melbourne Victory to win and Over 2.5 at 2.41.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Melbourne VCC Mariners
Games played2020
Wins96
Draws57
Losses67
Goals scored3929
Goals conceded2434
Scored per game1.91.4
Conceded per game1.21.7
Home record5W 3D 3L2W 6D 2L
Away record4W 2D 3L4W 1D 5L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals60%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals62%1.60
Over 3.5 goals40%2.48
Both teams to score61%1.64
Melbourne Victory or Draw79%1.27
Central Coast Mariners or Draw43%2.31
Melbourne Victory to win and Over 2.541%2.45
Central Coast Mariners to win and Over 2.514%7.11
Melbourne Victory clean sheet31%3.25
Central Coast Mariners clean sheet13%7.71

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.2%
2-19.8%
2-08.3%
1-07.6%
3-16.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
A-League

South Melbourne Make History With Australia Cup Penalty Win Over Victory

South Melbourne became the first non A-League club to win the Australia Cup after beating Melbourne Victory on penalties.

10 Oct 2026
A-League

New Melbourne Victory Boss Savarese Ready for Historic Cup Final

New Melbourne Victory coach Giovanni Savarese reflects on his connection to Australian football culture ahead of a historic Australia Cup final.

16 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners?

Our prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners is Melbourne Victory to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Melbourne Victory to score 2.0 goals and Central Coast Mariners 1.2.

Will both teams score in Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Melbourne Victory last 20 games and 14 of Central Coast Mariners last 20.

How are Melbourne Victory playing?

Melbourne Victory have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Central Coast Mariners playing?

Central Coast Mariners have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners last met?

It ended Melbourne Victory 4, Central Coast Mariners 1. In the last 2 meetings Melbourne Victory won 1 and Central Coast Mariners won 1.

What is the best bet for Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Melbourne V against CC Mariners. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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