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Predictions › United States › Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors
NBAFri 23 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors prediction

Chase Center

Memphis GrizzliesAway
115.0 : 122.0
projected points
Golden State WarriorsHome
26%Grizzlies
74%Warriors
Eagle safe pickWarriors +1.5
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 74% chance. We project Memphis Grizzlies 115.0 and Golden State Warriors 122.0. Our best bet is Warriors +1.5 at -304.

Prediction
Golden State Warriors to win
Chance
74%
Projected score
Memphis Grizzlies 115, Golden State Warriors 122
Projected total
237.1 points
Best bet
Warriors +1.5 at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Warriors +1.5
75% chanceFair price -3042 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Grizzlies to win
26% chanceFair price +2811 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Golden State Warriors 74% and Memphis Grizzlies 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Golden State Warriors won 2 of their last 5 and Memphis Grizzlies won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Golden State Warriors won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Memphis Grizzlies won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Golden State Warriors score 111.8 points a game and let in 116.4. Memphis Grizzlies score 111.5 and let in 127.5. Their recent games average 228.3 and 239.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Golden State Warriors won 3 and Memphis Grizzlies won 0. The last one ended Memphis Grizzlies 112, Golden State Warriors 133.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Warriors +1.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors: Golden State Warriors are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Golden State Warriors host Memphis Grizzlies in the NBA on Fri 23 Oct, 22:00 at Chase Center. Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 74% chance. We project Memphis Grizzlies 115.0 and Golden State Warriors 122.0. Our best bet is Warriors +1.5 at -304.

Golden State Warriors form

Golden State Warriors have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2237 points scored and 2328 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Memphis Grizzlies form

Memphis Grizzlies have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2230 points scored and 2551 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Golden State Warriors won 3, Memphis Grizzlies won 0. Last time out it finished Memphis Grizzlies 112, Golden State Warriors 133.

Our call

We expect Memphis Grizzlies to score about 115.0 points and Golden State Warriors about 122.0. That points to Golden State Warriors to win. Our safest bet is Warriors +1.5 at -304. Our bold bet is Grizzlies to win at +281.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WarriorsGrizzlies
Games played2020
Wins74
Losses1316
Points scored22372230
Points conceded23282551
Scored per game111.8111.5
Conceded per game116.4127.5
Home record5W 4L2W 8L
Away record2W 9L2W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Warriors spreadCoversFair
Warriors -12.533%+203
Warriors -9.542%+138
Warriors -6.552%-106
Warriors -3.561%-156
Warriors -0.570%-231
Total pointsOverUnder
231.562%38%
234.556%44%
237.549%51%
240.542%58%
243.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Warriors +3.5 wins if Warriors win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Brandin Podziemski Agrees to Long Term Golden State Warriors Extension

Brandin Podziemski and the Golden State Warriors have agreed to a five year contract extension worth 110 million dollars.

10 Oct 2026
NBA

How Rookie Yaxel Lendeborg Is Winning Over the Warriors

Golden State rookie Yaxel Lendeborg is making a fast impact as the team searches for immediate help during Stephen Curry's final years.

8 Oct 2026
NBA

Memphis Grizzlies Waive Guard Jordan Hawkins After Recent Trade

The Memphis Grizzlies have waived guard Jordan Hawkins just three weeks after acquiring him in a trade with the New Orleans Pelicans.

3 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors?

Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 74% chance. We project Memphis Grizzlies 115.0 and Golden State Warriors 122.0. Our best bet is Warriors +1.5 at -304.

What is the projected score for Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors?

We project Memphis Grizzlies 115.0 and Golden State Warriors 122.0, about 237.1 points in total.

How are Golden State Warriors playing?

Golden State Warriors have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2237 points scored and 2328 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Memphis Grizzlies playing?

Memphis Grizzlies have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2230 points scored and 2551 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies last met?

It ended Memphis Grizzlies 112, Golden State Warriors 133. In the last 3 meetings Golden State Warriors won 3 and Memphis Grizzlies won 0.

What is the best bet for Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors?

Warriors +1.5 at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Warriors against Grizzlies. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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