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Predictions › United States › Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings
NBASun 25 Oct, 21:00 United States time

Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings prediction

Golden 1 Center

Memphis GrizzliesAway
119.3 : 117.4
projected points
Sacramento KingsHome
56%Grizzlies
44%Kings
Eagle safe pickGrizzlies +6.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings is Memphis Grizzlies to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Memphis Grizzlies 119.3 and Sacramento Kings 117.4. Our best bet is Grizzlies +6.5 at -303.

Prediction
Memphis Grizzlies to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Memphis Grizzlies 119, Sacramento Kings 117
Projected total
236.7 points
Best bet
Grizzlies +6.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Grizzlies +6.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kings to win
44% chanceFair price +1261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sacramento Kings 44% and Memphis Grizzlies 56%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sacramento Kings won 0 of their last 5 and Memphis Grizzlies won 2 of their last 5. Memphis Grizzlies come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sacramento Kings won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Memphis Grizzlies won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Sacramento Kings score 110.8 points a game and let in 120.1. Memphis Grizzlies score 111.5 and let in 127.5. Their recent games average 230.8 and 239.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Sacramento Kings won 1 and Memphis Grizzlies won 3. The last one ended Memphis Grizzlies 114, Sacramento Kings 123.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Grizzlies +6.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kingsrest between games-2%
  • Kingsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings: Memphis Grizzlies shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sacramento Kings host Memphis Grizzlies in the NBA on Sun 25 Oct, 21:00 at Golden 1 Center. Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings is Memphis Grizzlies to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Memphis Grizzlies 119.3 and Sacramento Kings 117.4. Our best bet is Grizzlies +6.5 at -303.

Sacramento Kings form

Sacramento Kings have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2215 points scored and 2402 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Memphis Grizzlies form

Memphis Grizzlies have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2230 points scored and 2551 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Sacramento Kings won 1, Memphis Grizzlies won 3. Last time out it finished Memphis Grizzlies 114, Sacramento Kings 123.

Our call

We expect Memphis Grizzlies to score about 119.3 points and Sacramento Kings about 117.4. That points to Memphis Grizzlies to win. Our safest bet is Grizzlies +6.5 at -303. Our bold bet is Kings to win at +126.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KingsGrizzlies
Games played2020
Wins64
Losses1416
Points scored22152230
Points conceded24022551
Scored per game110.8111.5
Conceded per game120.1127.5
Home record4W 6L2W 8L
Away record2W 8L2W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Kings spreadCoversFair
Kings -4.531%+227
Kings -1.539%+154
Kings +1.549%+105
Kings +4.558%-140
Kings +7.567%-207
Total pointsOverUnder
230.564%36%
233.557%43%
236.550%50%
239.544%56%
242.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kings +3.5 wins if Kings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Kings Center Maxime Raynaud Avoids Major Knee Injury

Maxime Raynaud suffered a knee injury in Sacramento's preseason game and will be reevaluated in two weeks.

11 Oct 2026
NBA

Memphis Grizzlies Waive Guard Jordan Hawkins After Recent Trade

The Memphis Grizzlies have waived guard Jordan Hawkins just three weeks after acquiring him in a trade with the New Orleans Pelicans.

3 Oct 2026
NBA

Ben Simmons Rejects Basketball Critics in Kings Return

Ben Simmons is back in the NBA with the Sacramento Kings, shutting down critics who claimed he does not love the game.

29 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings?

Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings is Memphis Grizzlies to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Memphis Grizzlies 119.3 and Sacramento Kings 117.4. Our best bet is Grizzlies +6.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings?

We project Memphis Grizzlies 119.3 and Sacramento Kings 117.4, about 236.7 points in total.

How are Sacramento Kings playing?

Sacramento Kings have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2215 points scored and 2402 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Memphis Grizzlies playing?

Memphis Grizzlies have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2230 points scored and 2551 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Sacramento Kings and Memphis Grizzlies last met?

It ended Memphis Grizzlies 114, Sacramento Kings 123. In the last 4 meetings Sacramento Kings won 1 and Memphis Grizzlies won 3.

What is the best bet for Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings?

Grizzlies +6.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kings against Grizzlies. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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