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NBAMon 16 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards prediction

Capital One Arena

Memphis GrizzliesAway
121.0 : 116.8
projected points
Washington WizardsHome
64%Grizzlies
36%Wizards
Eagle safe pickWizards +12.5
-312

Quick answer

Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards is Memphis Grizzlies to win, with a 64% chance. We project Memphis Grizzlies 121.0 and Washington Wizards 116.8. Our best bet is Wizards +12.5 at -312.

Prediction
Memphis Grizzlies to win
Chance
64%
Projected score
Memphis Grizzlies 121, Washington Wizards 117
Projected total
237.8 points
Best bet
Wizards +12.5 at -312

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Wizards +12.5
76% chanceFair price -3122 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Wizards to win
36% chanceFair price +1801 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Wizards 36% and Memphis Grizzlies 64%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Wizards won 2 of their last 5 and Memphis Grizzlies won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Wizards won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Memphis Grizzlies won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Wizards score 113.9 points a game and let in 120.5. Memphis Grizzlies score 115.4 and let in 119.8. Their recent games average 234.4 and 235.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Washington Wizards won 2 and Memphis Grizzlies won 0. The last one ended Washington Wizards 116, Memphis Grizzlies 112.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Wizards +12.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wizardsrest between games-5%
  • Grizzliesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards: Memphis Grizzlies are favourites

The big picture

Washington Wizards host Memphis Grizzlies in the NBA on Mon 16 Nov, 19:00 at Capital One Arena. Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards is Memphis Grizzlies to win, with a 64% chance. We project Memphis Grizzlies 121.0 and Washington Wizards 116.8. Our best bet is Wizards +12.5 at -312.

Washington Wizards form

Washington Wizards have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2278 points scored and 2410 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Memphis Grizzlies form

Memphis Grizzlies have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2308 points scored and 2395 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Washington Wizards won 2, Memphis Grizzlies won 0. Last time out it finished Washington Wizards 116, Memphis Grizzlies 112.

Our call

We expect Memphis Grizzlies to score about 121.0 points and Washington Wizards about 116.8. That points to Memphis Grizzlies to win. Our safest bet is Wizards +12.5 at -312. Our bold bet is Wizards to win at +180.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WizardsGrizzlies
Games played2020
Wins69
Losses1411
Points scored22782308
Points conceded24102395
Scored per game113.9115.4
Conceded per game120.5119.8
Home record3W 7L3W 7L
Away record3W 7L6W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Wizards spreadCoversFair
Wizards -1.532%+209
Wizards +1.541%+142
Wizards +4.551%-103
Wizards +7.560%-152
Wizards +10.569%-225
Total pointsOverUnder
231.564%36%
234.557%43%
237.551%49%
240.544%56%
243.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Wizards +3.5 wins if Wizards win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards?

Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards is Memphis Grizzlies to win, with a 64% chance. We project Memphis Grizzlies 121.0 and Washington Wizards 116.8. Our best bet is Wizards +12.5 at -312.

What is the projected score for Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards?

We project Memphis Grizzlies 121.0 and Washington Wizards 116.8, about 237.8 points in total.

How are Washington Wizards playing?

Washington Wizards have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2278 points scored and 2410 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Memphis Grizzlies playing?

Memphis Grizzlies have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2308 points scored and 2395 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Washington Wizards and Memphis Grizzlies last met?

It ended Washington Wizards 116, Memphis Grizzlies 112. In the last 2 meetings Washington Wizards won 2 and Memphis Grizzlies won 0.

What is the best bet for Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards?

Wizards +12.5 at -312, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wizards against Grizzlies. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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