Predictions › United States › Memphis Tigers vs Charlotte 49ers
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Memphis Tigers vs Charlotte 49ers prediction

Jerry Richardson Stadium

Memphis TigersAway
37.5 : 17.6
projected points
Charlotte 49ersHome
91%Memphis
9%Charlotte
Eagle safe pickCharlotte +30.5
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Memphis Tigers vs Charlotte 49ers is Memphis Tigers to win, with a 91% chance. We project Memphis Tigers 37.5 and Charlotte 49ers 17.6. Our best bet is Charlotte +30.5 at -301.

Prediction
Memphis Tigers to win
Chance
91%
Projected score
Memphis Tigers 37, Charlotte 49ers 18
Projected total
55.0 points
Best bet
Charlotte +30.5 at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Charlotte +30.5
75% chanceFair price -3012 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Charlotte 49ers 9% and Memphis Tigers 91%. The bookmakers agree and make Memphis Tigers the favourite at -1205.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Charlotte 49ers won 0 of their last 5 and Memphis Tigers won 3 of their last 5. Memphis Tigers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Charlotte 49ers won 1 of their last 7 games at home. Memphis Tigers won 4 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Charlotte 49ers score 16.9 points a game and let in 37.6. Memphis Tigers score 31.5 and let in 25.3. Their recent games average 54.4 and 56.8 points in total, and the market line is 54.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Charlotte +30.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Charlotterest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Memphis Tigers vs Charlotte 49ers: Memphis Tigers are favourites

The big picture

Charlotte 49ers host Memphis Tigers in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 15:30 at Jerry Richardson Stadium. Our prediction for Memphis Tigers vs Charlotte 49ers is Memphis Tigers to win, with a 91% chance. We project Memphis Tigers 37.5 and Charlotte 49ers 17.6. Our best bet is Charlotte +30.5 at -301.

Charlotte 49ers form

Charlotte 49ers have 1 win and 13 losses in their last 14 games, with 236 points scored and 526 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Memphis Tigers form

Memphis Tigers have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 473 points scored and 379 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Memphis Tigers to score about 37.5 points and Charlotte 49ers about 17.6. That points to Memphis Tigers to win. Our safest bet is Charlotte +30.5 at -301.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

CharlotteMemphis
Games played1415
Wins19
Losses136
Points scored236473
Points conceded526379
Scored per game16.931.5
Conceded per game37.625.3
Home record1W 6L5W 2L
Away record0W 7L4W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Charlotte to win9%+1017+750-23.9%
Memphis to win86%-639-1205-6.3%
Charlotte +20.548%+107-112-8.4%
Memphis -20.545%+121-108-12.7%
Over 54.5 points48%+108-105-5.9%
Under 54.5 points46%+119-115-14.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Charlotte spreadCoversFair
Charlotte +12.532%+210
Charlotte +16.542%+140
Charlotte +19.549%+104
Charlotte +22.556%-130
Charlotte +26.566%-194
Total pointsOverUnder
48.566%34%
52.556%44%
55.549%51%
58.541%59%
62.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Charlotte +3.5 wins if Charlotte win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Memphis Tigers vs Charlotte 49ers?

Our prediction for Memphis Tigers vs Charlotte 49ers is Memphis Tigers to win, with a 91% chance. We project Memphis Tigers 37.5 and Charlotte 49ers 17.6. Our best bet is Charlotte +30.5 at -301.

What is the projected score for Memphis Tigers vs Charlotte 49ers?

We project Memphis Tigers 37.5 and Charlotte 49ers 17.6, about 55.0 points in total.

How are Charlotte 49ers playing?

Charlotte 49ers have 1 win and 13 losses in their last 14 games, with 236 points scored and 526 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Memphis Tigers playing?

Memphis Tigers have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 473 points scored and 379 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Memphis Tigers vs Charlotte 49ers?

Charlotte +30.5 at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Charlotte against Memphis. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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