Predictions › United States › Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls
College FootballThu 12 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls prediction

Raymond James Stadium

Memphis TigersAway
19.2 : 29.1
projected points
South Florida BullsHome
25%Memphis
75%South Florida
Eagle safe pickSouth Florida +0.5
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls is South Florida Bulls to win, with a 75% chance. We project Memphis Tigers 19.2 and South Florida Bulls 29.1. Our best bet is South Florida +0.5 at -305.

Prediction
South Florida Bulls to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
Memphis Tigers 19, South Florida Bulls 29
Projected total
48.3 points
Best bet
South Florida +0.5 at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

South Florida +0.5
75% chanceFair price -3052 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Memphis to win
26% chanceFair price +2861 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives South Florida Bulls 75% and Memphis Tigers 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    South Florida Bulls won 3 of their last 5 and Memphis Tigers won 4 of their last 5. Memphis Tigers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    South Florida Bulls won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Memphis Tigers won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    South Florida Bulls score 36.3 points a game and let in 20.9. Memphis Tigers score 33.9 and let in 24.4. Their recent games average 57.2 and 58.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, South Florida Bulls won 0 and Memphis Tigers won 1. The last one ended Memphis Tigers 34, South Florida Bulls 31.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    South Florida +0.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • South Floridarest between games-2%
  • Memphisrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls: South Florida Bulls are favourites

The big picture

South Florida Bulls host Memphis Tigers in the College Football on Thu 12 Nov, 20:00 at Raymond James Stadium. Our prediction for Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls is South Florida Bulls to win, with a 75% chance. We project Memphis Tigers 19.2 and South Florida Bulls 29.1. Our best bet is South Florida +0.5 at -305.

South Florida Bulls form

South Florida Bulls have 13 wins and 6 losses in their last 19 games, with 690 points scored and 397 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Memphis Tigers form

Memphis Tigers have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 677 points scored and 487 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. South Florida Bulls won 0, Memphis Tigers won 1. Last time out it finished Memphis Tigers 34, South Florida Bulls 31.

Our call

We expect Memphis Tigers to score about 19.2 points and South Florida Bulls about 29.1. That points to South Florida Bulls to win. Our safest bet is South Florida +0.5 at -305. Our bold bet is Memphis to win at +286.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

South FloridaMemphis
Games played1920
Wins1313
Losses67
Points scored690677
Points conceded397487
Scored per game36.333.9
Conceded per game20.924.4
Home record9W 2L8W 2L
Away record4W 4L5W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

South Florida spreadCoversFair
South Florida -16.534%+194
South Florida -12.544%+129
South Florida -9.551%-104
South Florida -6.558%-141
South Florida -2.568%-211
Total pointsOverUnder
41.566%34%
45.557%43%
48.549%51%
51.542%58%
55.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. South Florida +3.5 wins if South Florida win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls?

Our prediction for Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls is South Florida Bulls to win, with a 75% chance. We project Memphis Tigers 19.2 and South Florida Bulls 29.1. Our best bet is South Florida +0.5 at -305.

What is the projected score for Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls?

We project Memphis Tigers 19.2 and South Florida Bulls 29.1, about 48.3 points in total.

How are South Florida Bulls playing?

South Florida Bulls have 13 wins and 6 losses in their last 19 games, with 690 points scored and 397 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Memphis Tigers playing?

Memphis Tigers have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 677 points scored and 487 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when South Florida Bulls and Memphis Tigers last met?

It ended Memphis Tigers 34, South Florida Bulls 31. In the last 1 meeting South Florida Bulls won 0 and Memphis Tigers won 1.

What is the best bet for Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls?

South Florida +0.5 at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in South Florida against Memphis. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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