EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets
NBASat 24 Oct, 18:00 United States time

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets prediction

Spectrum Center

Miami HeatAway
115.6 : 117.2
projected points
Charlotte HornetsHome
48%Heat
52%Hornets
Eagle safe pickHornets +6.5
-294

Quick answer

Our prediction for Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Miami Heat 115.6 and Charlotte Hornets 117.2. Our best bet is Hornets +6.5 at -294.

Prediction
Charlotte Hornets to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Miami Heat 116, Charlotte Hornets 117
Projected total
232.8 points
Best bet
Hornets +6.5 at -294

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hornets +6.5
75% chanceFair price -2941 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Heat to win
44% chanceFair price +1281 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Charlotte Hornets 52% and Miami Heat 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Charlotte Hornets won 3 of their last 5 and Miami Heat won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Charlotte Hornets won 9 of their last 13 games at home. Miami Heat won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Charlotte Hornets score 114.5 points a game and let in 108.2. Miami Heat score 123.0 and let in 124.6. Their recent games average 222.7 and 247.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Charlotte Hornets won 2 and Miami Heat won 3. The last one ended Charlotte Hornets 127, Miami Heat 126.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hornets +6.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets: Charlotte Hornets shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Charlotte Hornets host Miami Heat in the NBA on Sat 24 Oct, 18:00 at Spectrum Center. Our prediction for Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Miami Heat 115.6 and Charlotte Hornets 117.2. Our best bet is Hornets +6.5 at -294.

Charlotte Hornets form

Charlotte Hornets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2289 points scored and 2164 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 4 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Miami Heat form

Miami Heat have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2459 points scored and 2492 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Charlotte Hornets won 2, Miami Heat won 3. Last time out it finished Charlotte Hornets 127, Miami Heat 126.

Our call

We expect Miami Heat to score about 115.6 points and Charlotte Hornets about 117.2. That points to Charlotte Hornets to win. Our safest bet is Hornets +6.5 at -294. Our bold bet is Heat to win at +128.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HornetsHeat
Games played2020
Wins138
Losses712
Points scored22892459
Points conceded21642492
Scored per game114.5123.0
Conceded per game108.2124.6
Home record9W 4L5W 5L
Away record4W 3L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Hornets spreadCoversFair
Hornets -7.532%+214
Hornets -4.541%+145
Hornets -1.550%-101
Hornets +1.560%-149
Hornets +4.569%-220
Total pointsOverUnder
226.564%36%
229.557%43%
232.551%49%
235.544%56%
238.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Hornets +3.5 wins if Hornets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Hawks Trade Buddy Hield and Ryan Nembhard to Hornets for Dorian Finney-Smith

The Atlanta Hawks are trading Buddy Hield and Ryan Nembhard to the Charlotte Hornets to acquire veteran forward Dorian Finney-Smith.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets?

Our prediction for Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Miami Heat 115.6 and Charlotte Hornets 117.2. Our best bet is Hornets +6.5 at -294.

What is the projected score for Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets?

We project Miami Heat 115.6 and Charlotte Hornets 117.2, about 232.8 points in total.

How are Charlotte Hornets playing?

Charlotte Hornets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2289 points scored and 2164 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 4 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Miami Heat playing?

Miami Heat have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2459 points scored and 2492 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Charlotte Hornets and Miami Heat last met?

It ended Charlotte Hornets 127, Miami Heat 126. In the last 5 meetings Charlotte Hornets won 2 and Miami Heat won 3.

What is the best bet for Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets?

Hornets +6.5 at -294, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hornets against Heat. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.