Miami Hurricanes vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Notre Dame +6.5

76% chanceFair price -3212 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Notre Dame Fighting Irish 53% and Miami Hurricanes 47%. The bookmakers agree and make Notre Dame Fighting Irish the favourite at -155.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 4 of their last 5 and Miami Hurricanes won 5 of their last 5. Miami Hurricanes come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 10 of their last 11 games at home. Miami Hurricanes won 9 of their last 11 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Notre Dame Fighting Irish score 42.7 points a game and let in 15.4. Miami Hurricanes score 35.9 and let in 15.3. Their recent games average 58.1 and 51.1 points in total, and the market line is 55.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Notre Dame +6.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Price check against DraftKings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Notre Dame +3.5 wins if Notre Dame win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.