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Predictions › United States › Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Kent State Golden Flashes
College FootballTue 17 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Kent State Golden Flashes prediction

Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium

Miami (OH) RedHawksAway
18.7 : 27.7
projected points
Kent State Golden FlashesHome
27%Miami OH
73%Kent State
Eagle safe pickMiami OH +19.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Kent State Golden Flashes is Kent State Golden Flashes to win, with a 73% chance. We project Miami (OH) RedHawks 18.7 and Kent State Golden Flashes 27.7. Our best bet is Miami OH +19.5 at -303.

Prediction
Kent State Golden Flashes to win
Chance
73%
Projected score
Miami (OH) RedHawks 19, Kent State Golden Flashes 28
Projected total
46.4 points
Best bet
Miami OH +19.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Miami OH +19.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Miami OH to win
28% chanceFair price +2611 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kent State Golden Flashes 73% and Miami (OH) RedHawks 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kent State Golden Flashes won 1 of their last 5 and Miami (OH) RedHawks won 3 of their last 5. Miami (OH) RedHawks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kent State Golden Flashes won 5 of their last 8 games at home. Miami (OH) RedHawks won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Kent State Golden Flashes score 18.4 points a game and let in 31.5. Miami (OH) RedHawks score 26.1 and let in 22.1. Their recent games average 49.9 and 48.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Miami OH +19.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Kent State Golden Flashes: Kent State Golden Flashes are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kent State Golden Flashes host Miami (OH) RedHawks in the College Football on Tue 17 Nov, 19:00 at Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium. Our prediction for Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Kent State Golden Flashes is Kent State Golden Flashes to win, with a 73% chance. We project Miami (OH) RedHawks 18.7 and Kent State Golden Flashes 27.7. Our best bet is Miami OH +19.5 at -303.

Kent State Golden Flashes form

Kent State Golden Flashes have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 349 points scored and 599 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Miami (OH) RedHawks form

Miami (OH) RedHawks have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 521 points scored and 441 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Miami (OH) RedHawks to score about 18.7 points and Kent State Golden Flashes about 27.7. That points to Kent State Golden Flashes to win. Our safest bet is Miami OH +19.5 at -303. Our bold bet is Miami OH to win at +261.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Kent StateMiami OH
Games played1920
Wins712
Losses128
Points scored349521
Points conceded599441
Scored per game18.426.1
Conceded per game31.522.1
Home record5W 3L7W 3L
Away record2W 9L5W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Kent State spreadCoversFair
Kent State -16.532%+212
Kent State -12.541%+141
Kent State -9.549%+105
Kent State -6.556%-129
Kent State -2.566%-193
Total pointsOverUnder
39.567%33%
43.557%43%
46.550%50%
49.542%58%
53.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kent State +3.5 wins if Kent State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Kent State Golden Flashes?

Our prediction for Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Kent State Golden Flashes is Kent State Golden Flashes to win, with a 73% chance. We project Miami (OH) RedHawks 18.7 and Kent State Golden Flashes 27.7. Our best bet is Miami OH +19.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Kent State Golden Flashes?

We project Miami (OH) RedHawks 18.7 and Kent State Golden Flashes 27.7, about 46.4 points in total.

How are Kent State Golden Flashes playing?

Kent State Golden Flashes have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 349 points scored and 599 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Miami (OH) RedHawks playing?

Miami (OH) RedHawks have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 521 points scored and 441 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Kent State Golden Flashes?

Miami OH +19.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kent State against Miami OH. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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