Predictions › United States › Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Massachusetts Minutemen
College FootballSat 10 Oct, 14:00 United States time

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Massachusetts Minutemen prediction

Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Miami (OH) RedHawksAway
21.5 : 28.2
projected points
Massachusetts MinutemenHome
33%Miami OH
67%UMass
Eagle safe pickUMass +3.5
-292

Quick answer

Our prediction for Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Massachusetts Minutemen is Massachusetts Minutemen to win, with a 67% chance. We project Miami (OH) RedHawks 21.5 and Massachusetts Minutemen 28.2. Our best bet is UMass +3.5 at -292.

Prediction
Massachusetts Minutemen to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Miami (OH) RedHawks 21, Massachusetts Minutemen 28
Projected total
49.7 points
Best bet
UMass +3.5 at -292

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

UMass +3.5
74% chanceFair price -2921 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Miami OH to win
32% chanceFair price +2151 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Massachusetts Minutemen 67% and Miami (OH) RedHawks 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Massachusetts Minutemen won 4 of their last 5 and Miami (OH) RedHawks won 2 of their last 5. Massachusetts Minutemen come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Massachusetts Minutemen won 2 of their last 6 games at home. Miami (OH) RedHawks won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Massachusetts Minutemen score 17.3 points a game and let in 31.8. Miami (OH) RedHawks score 26.6 and let in 22.8. Their recent games average 49.1 and 49.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    UMass +3.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Massachusetts Minutemen: Massachusetts Minutemen are favourites

The big picture

Massachusetts Minutemen host Miami (OH) RedHawks in the College Football on Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium. Our prediction for Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Massachusetts Minutemen is Massachusetts Minutemen to win, with a 67% chance. We project Miami (OH) RedHawks 21.5 and Massachusetts Minutemen 28.2. Our best bet is UMass +3.5 at -292.

Massachusetts Minutemen form

Massachusetts Minutemen have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 242 points scored and 445 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Miami (OH) RedHawks form

Miami (OH) RedHawks have 9 wins and 7 losses in their last 16 games, with 426 points scored and 364 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Miami (OH) RedHawks to score about 21.5 points and Massachusetts Minutemen about 28.2. That points to Massachusetts Minutemen to win. Our safest bet is UMass +3.5 at -292. Our bold bet is Miami OH to win at +215.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

UMassMiami OH
Games played1416
Wins49
Losses107
Points scored242426
Points conceded445364
Scored per game17.326.6
Conceded per game31.822.8
Home record2W 4L6W 2L
Away record2W 6L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UMass spreadCoversFair
UMass -13.534%+197
UMass -9.543%+131
UMass -6.551%-103
UMass -3.558%-138
UMass +0.567%-208
Total pointsOverUnder
42.567%33%
46.558%42%
49.551%49%
52.543%57%
56.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UMass +3.5 wins if UMass win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Massachusetts Minutemen?

Our prediction for Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Massachusetts Minutemen is Massachusetts Minutemen to win, with a 67% chance. We project Miami (OH) RedHawks 21.5 and Massachusetts Minutemen 28.2. Our best bet is UMass +3.5 at -292.

What is the projected score for Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Massachusetts Minutemen?

We project Miami (OH) RedHawks 21.5 and Massachusetts Minutemen 28.2, about 49.7 points in total.

How are Massachusetts Minutemen playing?

Massachusetts Minutemen have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 242 points scored and 445 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Miami (OH) RedHawks playing?

Miami (OH) RedHawks have 9 wins and 7 losses in their last 16 games, with 426 points scored and 364 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Massachusetts Minutemen?

UMass +3.5 at -292, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UMass against Miami OH. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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