EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 12:30 United States time

Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers prediction

Camp Randall Stadium

Michigan State SpartansAway
17.3 : 27.6
projected points
Wisconsin BadgersHome
24%Michigan St
76%Wisconsin
Eagle safe pickWisconsin to win
-395

Quick answer

Our prediction for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers is Wisconsin Badgers to win, with a 76% chance. We project Michigan State Spartans 17.3 and Wisconsin Badgers 27.6. Our best bet is Wisconsin to win at -395.

Prediction
Wisconsin Badgers to win
Chance
76%
Projected score
Michigan State Spartans 17, Wisconsin Badgers 28
Projected total
44.8 points
Best bet
Wisconsin to win at -395

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Wisconsin to win
76% chancePrice -3951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Wisconsin Badgers 76% and Michigan State Spartans 24%. The bookmakers agree and make Wisconsin Badgers the favourite at -395.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Wisconsin Badgers won 3 of their last 5 and Michigan State Spartans won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Wisconsin Badgers won 4 of their last 7 games at home. Michigan State Spartans won 0 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Wisconsin Badgers score 15.9 points a game and let in 23.5. Michigan State Spartans score 22.7 and let in 28.4. Their recent games average 39.4 and 51.1 points in total, and the market line is 44.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Wisconsin to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wisconsinrest between games-5%
  • Michigan Strest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers: Wisconsin Badgers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Wisconsin Badgers host Michigan State Spartans in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 12:30 at Camp Randall Stadium. Our prediction for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers is Wisconsin Badgers to win, with a 76% chance. We project Michigan State Spartans 17.3 and Wisconsin Badgers 27.6. Our best bet is Wisconsin to win at -395.

Wisconsin Badgers form

Wisconsin Badgers have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 222 points scored and 329 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Michigan State Spartans form

Michigan State Spartans have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 318 points scored and 398 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 6 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Michigan State Spartans to score about 17.3 points and Wisconsin Badgers about 27.6. That points to Wisconsin Badgers to win. Our safest bet is Wisconsin to win at -395.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

WisconsinMichigan St
Games played1414
Wins54
Losses910
Points scored222318
Points conceded329398
Scored per game15.922.7
Conceded per game23.528.4
Home record4W 3L4W 4L
Away record1W 6L0W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Wisconsin to win76%-311-395-5.2%
Michigan St to win23%+328+310-4.3%
Wisconsin -1048%+110-108-8.1%
Michigan St +1046%+117-112-12.9%
Over 44.5 points48%+110-102-5.5%
Under 44.5 points46%+117-118-14.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Wisconsin spreadCoversFair
Wisconsin -17.533%+206
Wisconsin -13.542%+137
Wisconsin -10.550%+102
Wisconsin -7.557%-133
Wisconsin -3.567%-199
Total pointsOverUnder
37.568%32%
41.558%42%
44.551%49%
47.543%57%
51.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Wisconsin +3.5 wins if Wisconsin win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

Our prediction for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers is Wisconsin Badgers to win, with a 76% chance. We project Michigan State Spartans 17.3 and Wisconsin Badgers 27.6. Our best bet is Wisconsin to win at -395.

What is the projected score for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

We project Michigan State Spartans 17.3 and Wisconsin Badgers 27.6, about 44.8 points in total.

How are Wisconsin Badgers playing?

Wisconsin Badgers have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 222 points scored and 329 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Michigan State Spartans playing?

Michigan State Spartans have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 318 points scored and 398 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 6 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

Wisconsin to win at -395, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wisconsin against Michigan St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.