Predictions › United States › Michigan Wolverines vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 12:30 United States time

Michigan Wolverines vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights prediction

SHI Stadium

Michigan WolverinesAway
30.5 : 28.4
projected points
Rutgers Scarlet KnightsHome
55%Michigan
45%Rutgers
Eagle safe pickRutgers +12.5
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Michigan Wolverines vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights is Michigan Wolverines to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Michigan Wolverines 30.5 and Rutgers Scarlet Knights 28.4. Our best bet is Rutgers +12.5 at -301.

Prediction
Michigan Wolverines to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Michigan Wolverines 30, Rutgers Scarlet Knights 28
Projected total
58.9 points
Best bet
Rutgers +12.5 at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Rutgers +12.5
75% chanceFair price -3012 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Rutgers to win
45% chanceFair price +1241 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Rutgers Scarlet Knights 45% and Michigan Wolverines 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Rutgers Scarlet Knights won 2 of their last 5 and Michigan Wolverines won 3 of their last 5. Michigan Wolverines come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Rutgers Scarlet Knights won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Michigan Wolverines won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Rutgers Scarlet Knights score 28.3 points a game and let in 32.8. Michigan Wolverines score 26.3 and let in 18.9. Their recent games average 61.1 and 45.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Rutgers +12.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Michigan Wolverines vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights: Michigan Wolverines shade it

The big picture

Rutgers Scarlet Knights host Michigan Wolverines in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 at SHI Stadium. Our prediction for Michigan Wolverines vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights is Michigan Wolverines to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Michigan Wolverines 30.5 and Rutgers Scarlet Knights 28.4. Our best bet is Rutgers +12.5 at -301.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights form

Rutgers Scarlet Knights have 5 wins and 11 losses in their last 16 games, with 452 points scored and 525 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Michigan Wolverines form

Michigan Wolverines have 12 wins and 5 losses in their last 17 games, with 447 points scored and 321 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Michigan Wolverines to score about 30.5 points and Rutgers Scarlet Knights about 28.4. That points to Michigan Wolverines to win. Our safest bet is Rutgers +12.5 at -301. Our bold bet is Rutgers to win at +124.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

RutgersMichigan
Games played1617
Wins512
Losses115
Points scored452447
Points conceded525321
Scored per game28.326.3
Conceded per game32.818.9
Home record3W 6L8W 2L
Away record2W 5L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Rutgers spreadCoversFair
Rutgers -4.534%+194
Rutgers -0.544%+129
Rutgers +2.551%-104
Rutgers +5.558%-141
Rutgers +9.568%-211
Total pointsOverUnder
51.568%32%
55.558%42%
58.551%49%
61.544%56%
65.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Rutgers +3.5 wins if Rutgers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Michigan Wolverines vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights?

Our prediction for Michigan Wolverines vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights is Michigan Wolverines to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Michigan Wolverines 30.5 and Rutgers Scarlet Knights 28.4. Our best bet is Rutgers +12.5 at -301.

What is the projected score for Michigan Wolverines vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights?

We project Michigan Wolverines 30.5 and Rutgers Scarlet Knights 28.4, about 58.9 points in total.

How are Rutgers Scarlet Knights playing?

Rutgers Scarlet Knights have 5 wins and 11 losses in their last 16 games, with 452 points scored and 525 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Michigan Wolverines playing?

Michigan Wolverines have 12 wins and 5 losses in their last 17 games, with 447 points scored and 321 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Michigan Wolverines vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights?

Rutgers +12.5 at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rutgers against Michigan. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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