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Predictions › United States › Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Liberty Flames
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 15:30 United States time

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Liberty Flames prediction

Williams Stadium (VA)

Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersAway
18.3 : 36.3
projected points
Liberty FlamesHome
13%MTSU
87%Liberty
Eagle safe pickMTSU +28.5
-308

Quick answer

Our prediction for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Liberty Flames is Liberty Flames to win, with a 87% chance. We project Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 18.3 and Liberty Flames 36.3. Our best bet is MTSU +28.5 at -308.

Prediction
Liberty Flames to win
Chance
87%
Projected score
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 18, Liberty Flames 36
Projected total
54.5 points
Best bet
MTSU +28.5 at -308

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

MTSU +28.5
75% chanceFair price -3082 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Liberty Flames 87% and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Liberty Flames won 5 of their last 5 and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 2 of their last 5. Liberty Flames come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Liberty Flames won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Liberty Flames score 29.2 points a game and let in 21.4. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders score 24.2 and let in 29.6. Their recent games average 50.6 and 53.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    MTSU +28.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Liberty Flames: Liberty Flames are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Liberty Flames host Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 15:30 at Williams Stadium (VA). Our prediction for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Liberty Flames is Liberty Flames to win, with a 87% chance. We project Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 18.3 and Liberty Flames 36.3. Our best bet is MTSU +28.5 at -308.

Liberty Flames form

Liberty Flames have 10 wins and 8 losses in their last 18 games, with 525 points scored and 385 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders form

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 18 games, with 436 points scored and 532 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders to score about 18.3 points and Liberty Flames about 36.3. That points to Liberty Flames to win. Our safest bet is MTSU +28.5 at -308.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

LibertyMTSU
Games played1818
Wins107
Losses811
Points scored525436
Points conceded385532
Scored per game29.224.2
Conceded per game21.429.6
Home record6W 3L4W 5L
Away record4W 5L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Liberty spreadCoversFair
Liberty -25.532%+213
Liberty -21.541%+142
Liberty -18.549%+105
Liberty -15.556%-128
Liberty -11.566%-192
Total pointsOverUnder
47.567%33%
51.557%43%
54.550%50%
57.543%57%
61.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Liberty +3.5 wins if Liberty win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Liberty Flames?

Our prediction for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Liberty Flames is Liberty Flames to win, with a 87% chance. We project Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 18.3 and Liberty Flames 36.3. Our best bet is MTSU +28.5 at -308.

What is the projected score for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Liberty Flames?

We project Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 18.3 and Liberty Flames 36.3, about 54.5 points in total.

How are Liberty Flames playing?

Liberty Flames have 10 wins and 8 losses in their last 18 games, with 525 points scored and 385 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders playing?

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 18 games, with 436 points scored and 532 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Liberty Flames?

MTSU +28.5 at -308, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Liberty against MTSU. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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