Predictions › United States › Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Sam Houston Bearkats
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 14:00 United States time

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Sam Houston Bearkats prediction

Elliott T. Bowers Stadium

Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersAway
20.7 : 27.9
projected points
Sam Houston BearkatsHome
33%MTSU
67%Sam Houston
Eagle safe pickMTSU +17.5
-302

Quick answer

Our prediction for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Sam Houston Bearkats is Sam Houston Bearkats to win, with a 67% chance. We project Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 20.7 and Sam Houston Bearkats 27.9. Our best bet is MTSU +17.5 at -302.

Prediction
Sam Houston Bearkats to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 21, Sam Houston Bearkats 28
Projected total
48.6 points
Best bet
MTSU +17.5 at -302

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

MTSU +17.5
75% chanceFair price -3022 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

MTSU to win
32% chanceFair price +2131 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sam Houston Bearkats 67% and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sam Houston Bearkats won 0 of their last 5 and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 3 of their last 5. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sam Houston Bearkats won 2 of their last 8 games at home. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Sam Houston Bearkats score 17.0 points a game and let in 32.6. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders score 25.6 and let in 30.2. Their recent games average 49.6 and 55.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Sam Houston Bearkats won 0 and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 1. The last one ended Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 31, Sam Houston Bearkats 17.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    MTSU +17.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Sam Houston Bearkats: Sam Houston Bearkats are favourites

The big picture

Sam Houston Bearkats host Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 14:00 at Elliott T. Bowers Stadium. Our prediction for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Sam Houston Bearkats is Sam Houston Bearkats to win, with a 67% chance. We project Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 20.7 and Sam Houston Bearkats 27.9. Our best bet is MTSU +17.5 at -302.

Sam Houston Bearkats form

Sam Houston Bearkats have 3 wins and 15 losses in their last 18 games, with 306 points scored and 586 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders form

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 487 points scored and 574 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Sam Houston Bearkats won 0, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 1. Last time out it finished Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 31, Sam Houston Bearkats 17.

Our call

We expect Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders to score about 20.7 points and Sam Houston Bearkats about 27.9. That points to Sam Houston Bearkats to win. Our safest bet is MTSU +17.5 at -302. Our bold bet is MTSU to win at +213.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

Sam HoustonMTSU
Games played1819
Wins38
Losses1511
Points scored306487
Points conceded586574
Scored per game17.025.6
Conceded per game32.630.2
Home record2W 6L5W 5L
Away record1W 9L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Sam Houston spreadCoversFair
Sam Houston -14.532%+210
Sam Houston -10.542%+140
Sam Houston -7.549%+104
Sam Houston -4.557%-130
Sam Houston -0.566%-195
Total pointsOverUnder
41.567%33%
45.558%42%
48.550%50%
51.543%57%
55.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Sam Houston +3.5 wins if Sam Houston win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Sam Houston Bearkats?

Our prediction for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Sam Houston Bearkats is Sam Houston Bearkats to win, with a 67% chance. We project Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 20.7 and Sam Houston Bearkats 27.9. Our best bet is MTSU +17.5 at -302.

What is the projected score for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Sam Houston Bearkats?

We project Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 20.7 and Sam Houston Bearkats 27.9, about 48.6 points in total.

How are Sam Houston Bearkats playing?

Sam Houston Bearkats have 3 wins and 15 losses in their last 18 games, with 306 points scored and 586 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders playing?

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 487 points scored and 574 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Sam Houston Bearkats and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders last met?

It ended Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 31, Sam Houston Bearkats 17. In the last 1 meeting Sam Houston Bearkats won 0 and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 1.

What is the best bet for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Sam Houston Bearkats?

MTSU +17.5 at -302, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sam Houston against MTSU. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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