Predictions › United Kingdom › Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic

ChampionshipSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic prediction

Riverside Stadium

MiddlesbroughHome

2.00 : 0.90

expected goals

Charlton AthleticAway

62%Boro

22%Draw

16%Charlton

Eagle safe pickMiddlesbrough or Draw

1/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic is Middlesbrough to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Middlesbrough or Draw at 1/5.

Prediction: Middlesbrough to win
Chance: 62%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Middlesbrough 2.0, Charlton Athletic 0.9
Best bet: Middlesbrough or Draw at 1/5
Both teams to score: 52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Middlesbrough or Draw

84% chanceFair price 1/52 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Middlesbrough to win and Over 2.5

42% chanceFair price 11/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Middlesbrough 62%, the draw 22% and Charlton Athletic 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Middlesbrough took 9 points from their last 5 games and Charlton Athletic took 3 from 5. Middlesbrough come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Middlesbrough won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Charlton Athletic won 2 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Middlesbrough score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.3. Charlton Athletic score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Middlesbrough games and 12 of Charlton Athletic games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Middlesbrough won 1 and Charlton Athletic won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Middlesbrough 0, Charlton Athletic 1.
6
The safest bet
Middlesbrough or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Bororecent form+3%
Charltonrecent form-1%

Boro form D W W D DCharlton form D D D L DHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic: Middlesbrough are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Middlesbrough host Charlton Athletic in the Championship on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Riverside Stadium. Our prediction for Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic is Middlesbrough to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Middlesbrough or Draw at 1/5.

Middlesbrough form

Middlesbrough have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Charlton Athletic form

Charlton Athletic have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Middlesbrough won 1, Charlton Athletic won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Middlesbrough 0, Charlton Athletic 1.

Our call

We expect Middlesbrough to score about 2.0 goals and Charlton Athletic about 0.9. That points to Middlesbrough to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Middlesbrough or Draw at 1/5. Our bold bet is Middlesbrough to win and Over 2.5 at 11/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Boro	Charlton
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	5
Draws	6	7
Losses	4	8
Goals scored	35	22
Goals conceded	26	33
Scored per game	1.8	1.1
Conceded per game	1.3	1.6
Home record	7W 3D 0L	3W 3D 3L
Away record	3W 3D 4L	2W 4D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	15%
Both teams scored	65%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1/4
Over 2.5 goals	55%	4/5
Over 3.5 goals	33%	2/1
Both teams to score	52%	10/11
Middlesbrough or Draw	84%	2/11
Charlton Athletic or Draw	38%	13/8
Middlesbrough to win and Over 2.5	41%	7/5
Charlton Athletic to win and Over 2.5	9%	10/1
Middlesbrough clean sheet	41%	6/4
Charlton Athletic clean sheet	14%	13/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-011.0%

1-110.5%

1-010.4%

2-19.9%

3-07.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic?

Our prediction for Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic is Middlesbrough to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Middlesbrough or Draw at 1/5.

What is the score prediction for Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-0. We expect Middlesbrough to score 2.0 goals and Charlton Athletic 0.9.

Will both teams score in Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Middlesbrough last 20 games and 15 of Charlton Athletic last 20.

How are Middlesbrough playing?

How are Charlton Athletic playing?

What happened when Middlesbrough and Charlton Athletic last met?

It ended Middlesbrough 0, Charlton Athletic 1. In the last 2 meetings Middlesbrough won 1 and Charlton Athletic won 1.

What is the best bet for Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic?

Middlesbrough or Draw at 1/5, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Boro against Charlton. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.