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Predictions › Colombia › Millonarios vs América de Cali
Colombian Primera AWed 4 Nov, 01:10 Colombia time

Millonarios vs América de Cali prediction

Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín

MillonariosHome
1.34 : 0.76
expected goals
América de CaliAway
50%Millonarios
30%Draw
20%América Cali
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Millonarios vs América de Cali is Millonarios to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
Millonarios to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Millonarios 1.3, América de Cali 0.8
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
16% chanceFair price 6.381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Millonarios 50%, the draw 30% and América de Cali 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Millonarios took 7 points from their last 5 games and América de Cali took 10 from 5. América de Cali come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Millonarios won 4 of their last 9 games at home. América de Cali won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Millonarios score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.0. América de Cali score 1.6 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Millonarios games and 9 of América de Cali games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Millonarios won 1 and América de Cali won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended América de Cali 3, Millonarios 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • América Calirecent form+1%
  • América Calirest between games-5%
Millonarios form D W D L DAmérica Cali form D W D L WHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Millonarios vs América de Cali: Millonarios are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Millonarios host América de Cali in the Colombian Primera A on Wed 4 Nov, 01:10 at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín. Our prediction for Millonarios vs América de Cali is Millonarios to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Millonarios form

Millonarios have 7 wins, 10 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, D, newest first.

América de Cali form

América de Cali have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Millonarios won 1, América de Cali won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished América de Cali 3, Millonarios 1.

Our call

We expect Millonarios to score about 1.3 goals and América de Cali about 0.8. That points to Millonarios to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.38.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MillonariosAmérica Cali
Games played2020
Wins711
Draws105
Losses34
Goals scored3033
Goals conceded2018
Scored per game1.51.6
Conceded per game1.00.9
Home record4W 4D 1L7W 1D 2L
Away record3W 6D 2L4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets30%40%
Both teams scored65%45%
Over 2.5 goals35%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals63%1.59
Over 2.5 goals35%2.85
Over 3.5 goals16%6.20
Both teams to score40%2.50
Millonarios or Draw80%1.26
América de Cali or Draw50%1.99
Millonarios to win and Over 2.523%4.32
América de Cali to win and Over 2.58%11.98
Millonarios clean sheet47%2.14
América de Cali clean sheet26%3.82

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-015.7%
1-113.2%
0-013.0%
2-011.0%
0-18.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Millonarios vs América de Cali?

Our prediction for Millonarios vs América de Cali is Millonarios to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Millonarios vs América de Cali?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Millonarios to score 1.3 goals and América de Cali 0.8.

Will both teams score in Millonarios vs América de Cali?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Millonarios last 20 games and 9 of América de Cali last 20.

How are Millonarios playing?

Millonarios have 7 wins, 10 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, D, newest first.

How are América de Cali playing?

América de Cali have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Millonarios and América de Cali last met?

It ended América de Cali 3, Millonarios 1. In the last 2 meetings Millonarios won 1 and América de Cali won 1.

What is the best bet for Millonarios vs América de Cali?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Millonarios against América Cali. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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