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Predictions › Colombia › Millonarios vs Boyacá Chicó FC
Colombian Primera ASat 19 Sept, 19:00 Colombia time

Millonarios vs Boyacá Chicó FC prediction

Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín

MillonariosHome
2.23 : 0.41
expected goals
Boyacá Chicó FCAway
79%Millonarios
16%Draw
5%Chicó FC
Eagle safe pickMillonarios to win
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Millonarios vs Boyacá Chicó FC is Millonarios to win, with a 79% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Millonarios to win at 1.22.

Prediction
Millonarios to win
Chance
79%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Millonarios 2.2, Boyacá Chicó FC 0.4
Best bet
Millonarios to win at 1.22
Both teams to score
30%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Millonarios to win
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Millonarios to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 2.311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Millonarios 79%, the draw 16% and Boyacá Chicó FC 5%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Millonarios took 6 points from their last 5 games and Boyacá Chicó FC took 8 from 5. Boyacá Chicó FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Millonarios won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Boyacá Chicó FC won 0 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Millonarios score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.0. Boyacá Chicó FC score 0.8 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Millonarios games and 9 of Boyacá Chicó FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Millonarios won 1 and Boyacá Chicó FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Boyacá Chicó FC 2, Millonarios 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Millonarios to win has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Chicó FCrecent form+1%
  • Millonariosrest between games-2%
  • Chicó FCrest between games-5%
Millonarios form D D L D WChicó FC form W W D D LHome edge in this league 40% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Millonarios vs Boyacá Chicó FC: Millonarios are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Millonarios host Boyacá Chicó FC in the Colombian Primera A on Sat 19 Sept, 19:00 at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín. Our prediction for Millonarios vs Boyacá Chicó FC is Millonarios to win, with a 79% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Millonarios to win at 1.22.

Millonarios form

Millonarios have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Boyacá Chicó FC form

Boyacá Chicó FC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 10 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Millonarios won 1, Boyacá Chicó FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Boyacá Chicó FC 2, Millonarios 1.

Our call

We expect Millonarios to score about 2.2 goals and Boyacá Chicó FC about 0.4. That points to Millonarios to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Millonarios to win at 1.22. Our bold bet is Millonarios to win and Over 2.5 at 2.31.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MillonariosChicó FC
Games played2020
Wins86
Draws73
Losses511
Goals scored3315
Goals conceded2035
Scored per game1.60.8
Conceded per game1.01.8
Home record5W 4D 1L6W 2D 1L
Away record3W 3D 4L0W 1D 10L
Clean sheets35%25%
Both teams scored55%25%
Over 2.5 goals40%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.03
Over 3.5 goals27%3.67
Both teams to score30%3.29
Millonarios or Draw95%1.05
Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw21%4.74
Millonarios to win and Over 2.546%2.19
Boyacá Chicó FC to win and Over 2.52%53.30
Millonarios clean sheet66%1.51
Boyacá Chicó FC clean sheet11%9.30

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-017.7%
1-015.5%
3-013.2%
0-07.5%
4-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Millonarios vs Boyacá Chicó FC?

Our prediction for Millonarios vs Boyacá Chicó FC is Millonarios to win, with a 79% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Millonarios to win at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Millonarios vs Boyacá Chicó FC?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 3-0. We expect Millonarios to score 2.2 goals and Boyacá Chicó FC 0.4.

Will both teams score in Millonarios vs Boyacá Chicó FC?

Both teams to score has a 30% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Millonarios last 20 games and 5 of Boyacá Chicó FC last 20.

How are Millonarios playing?

Millonarios have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Boyacá Chicó FC playing?

Boyacá Chicó FC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 10 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Millonarios and Boyacá Chicó FC last met?

It ended Boyacá Chicó FC 2, Millonarios 1. In the last 2 meetings Millonarios won 1 and Boyacá Chicó FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Millonarios vs Boyacá Chicó FC?

Millonarios to win at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Millonarios against Chicó FC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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