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Predictions › United Kingdom › Milton Keynes Dons vs Bromley
League OneTue 27 Oct, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Milton Keynes Dons vs Bromley prediction

Stadium MK

Milton Keynes DonsHome
1.61 : 1.30
expected goals
BromleyAway
44%MK Dons
26%Draw
30%Bromley
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Bromley is Milton Keynes Dons to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Prediction
Milton Keynes Dons to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Milton Keynes Dons 1.6, Bromley 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/7
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 2/72 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Milton Keynes Dons to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 13/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Milton Keynes Dons 44%, the draw 26% and Bromley 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Milton Keynes Dons took 6 points from their last 5 games and Bromley took 4 from 5. Milton Keynes Dons come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Milton Keynes Dons won 2 of their last 7 games at home. Bromley won 1 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Milton Keynes Dons score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.8. Bromley score 1.0 and let in 2.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Milton Keynes Dons games and 6 of Bromley games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • MK Donsrecent form+1%
  • Bromleyrecent form-3%
  • MK Donsrest between games-5%
  • Bromleyrest between games-5%
MK Dons form D L W W DBromley form D L L L WHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Milton Keynes Dons vs Bromley: Milton Keynes Dons shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Milton Keynes Dons host Bromley in the League One on Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 at Stadium MK. Our prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Bromley is Milton Keynes Dons to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Milton Keynes Dons form

Milton Keynes Dons have 3 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 13 games, with 19 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, D, newest first.

Bromley form

Bromley have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 11 games, with 11 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Milton Keynes Dons to score about 1.6 goals and Bromley about 1.3. That points to Milton Keynes Dons to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7. Our bold bet is Milton Keynes Dons to win and Over 2.5 at 13/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

MK DonsBromley
Games played1311
Wins32
Draws73
Losses36
Goals scored1911
Goals conceded2424
Scored per game1.51.0
Conceded per game1.82.2
Home record2W 4D 1L1W 2D 3L
Away record1W 3D 2L1W 1D 3L
Clean sheets15%9%
Both teams scored85%64%
Over 2.5 goals62%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1/4
Over 2.5 goals56%4/5
Over 3.5 goals33%2/1
Both teams to score59%8/11
Milton Keynes Dons or Draw70%4/9
Bromley or Draw56%4/5
Milton Keynes Dons to win and Over 2.529%5/2
Bromley to win and Over 2.519%4/1
Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet27%13/5
Bromley clean sheet20%4/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
2-19.2%
1-08.1%
1-27.4%
2-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Bromley?

Our prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Bromley is Milton Keynes Dons to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Bromley?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Milton Keynes Dons to score 1.6 goals and Bromley 1.3.

Will both teams score in Milton Keynes Dons vs Bromley?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Milton Keynes Dons last 13 games and 7 of Bromley last 11.

How are Milton Keynes Dons playing?

Milton Keynes Dons have 3 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 13 games, with 19 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, D, newest first.

How are Bromley playing?

Bromley have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 11 games, with 11 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Milton Keynes Dons vs Bromley?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/7, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in MK Dons against Bromley. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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