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Predictions › United Kingdom › Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster Rovers
League OneSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster Rovers prediction

Stadium MK

Milton Keynes DonsHome
1.19 : 1.36
expected goals
Doncaster RoversAway
32%MK Dons
28%Draw
40%Doncaster
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster Rovers is Doncaster Rovers to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Doncaster Rovers to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Milton Keynes Dons 1.2, Doncaster Rovers 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Milton Keynes Dons 32%, the draw 28% and Doncaster Rovers 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Milton Keynes Dons took 5 points from their last 5 games and Doncaster Rovers took 6 from 5. Doncaster Rovers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Milton Keynes Dons won 2 of their last 7 games at home. Doncaster Rovers won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Milton Keynes Dons score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.9. Doncaster Rovers score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Milton Keynes Dons games and 8 of Doncaster Rovers games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • MK Donsrecent form+1%
  • Doncasterrecent form+3%
  • MK Donsrest between games-5%
  • Doncasterrest between games-5%
MK Dons form L W L W WDoncaster form D L W W WHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster Rovers: Doncaster Rovers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Milton Keynes Dons host Doncaster Rovers in the League One on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Stadium MK. Our prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster Rovers is Doncaster Rovers to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Milton Keynes Dons form

Milton Keynes Dons have 3 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 14 games, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, D, newest first.

Doncaster Rovers form

Doncaster Rovers have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Milton Keynes Dons to score about 1.2 goals and Doncaster Rovers about 1.4. That points to Doncaster Rovers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MK DonsDoncaster
Games played1420
Wins36
Draws75
Losses49
Goals scored1921
Goals conceded2627
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game1.91.4
Home record2W 4D 1L3W 3D 5L
Away record1W 3D 3L3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets14%25%
Both teams scored79%50%
Over 2.5 goals57%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%4/11
Over 2.5 goals47%11/10
Over 3.5 goals25%3/1
Both teams to score52%10/11
Milton Keynes Dons or Draw60%4/6
Doncaster Rovers or Draw68%4/9
Milton Keynes Dons to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Doncaster Rovers to win and Over 2.523%10/3
Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet26%3/1
Doncaster Rovers clean sheet30%9/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
0-19.9%
1-28.6%
0-08.6%
1-08.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster Rovers?

Our prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster Rovers is Doncaster Rovers to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster Rovers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Milton Keynes Dons to score 1.2 goals and Doncaster Rovers 1.4.

Will both teams score in Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster Rovers?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Milton Keynes Dons last 14 games and 10 of Doncaster Rovers last 20.

How are Milton Keynes Dons playing?

Milton Keynes Dons have 3 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 14 games, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Doncaster Rovers playing?

Doncaster Rovers have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster Rovers?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in MK Dons against Doncaster. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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