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Predictions › United States › Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers
NBAFri 16 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers prediction

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Milwaukee BucksAway
112.4 : 114.0
projected points
Indiana PacersHome
49%Bucks
51%Pacers
Eagle safe pickPacers +6.5
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers is Indiana Pacers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Milwaukee Bucks 112.4 and Indiana Pacers 114.0. Our best bet is Pacers +6.5 at -304.

Prediction
Indiana Pacers to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Milwaukee Bucks 112, Indiana Pacers 114
Projected total
226.4 points
Best bet
Pacers +6.5 at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pacers +6.5
75% chanceFair price -3042 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bucks to win
42% chanceFair price +1381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Indiana Pacers 51% and Milwaukee Bucks 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Indiana Pacers won 1 of their last 5 and Milwaukee Bucks won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Indiana Pacers won 1 of their last 9 games at home. Milwaukee Bucks won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Indiana Pacers score 115.8 points a game and let in 122.5. Milwaukee Bucks score 108.6 and let in 120.2. Their recent games average 238.4 and 228.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Indiana Pacers won 0 and Milwaukee Bucks won 4. The last one ended Milwaukee Bucks 134, Indiana Pacers 123.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pacers +6.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pacersrest between games-3%
  • Bucksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers: Indiana Pacers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Indiana Pacers host Milwaukee Bucks in the NBA on Fri 16 Oct, 19:00 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Our prediction for Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers is Indiana Pacers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Milwaukee Bucks 112.4 and Indiana Pacers 114.0. Our best bet is Pacers +6.5 at -304.

Indiana Pacers form

Indiana Pacers have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2317 points scored and 2451 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Milwaukee Bucks form

Milwaukee Bucks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2172 points scored and 2404 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Indiana Pacers won 0, Milwaukee Bucks won 4. Last time out it finished Milwaukee Bucks 134, Indiana Pacers 123.

Our call

We expect Milwaukee Bucks to score about 112.4 points and Indiana Pacers about 114.0. That points to Indiana Pacers to win. Our safest bet is Pacers +6.5 at -304. Our bold bet is Bucks to win at +138.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PacersBucks
Games played2020
Wins45
Losses1615
Points scored23172172
Points conceded24512404
Scored per game115.8108.6
Conceded per game122.5120.2
Home record1W 8L4W 6L
Away record3W 8L1W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Pacers spreadCoversFair
Pacers -7.532%+215
Pacers -4.541%+146
Pacers -1.550%-101
Pacers +1.560%-148
Pacers +4.569%-219
Total pointsOverUnder
220.563%37%
223.556%44%
226.550%50%
229.543%57%
232.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pacers +3.5 wins if Pacers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers?

Our prediction for Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers is Indiana Pacers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Milwaukee Bucks 112.4 and Indiana Pacers 114.0. Our best bet is Pacers +6.5 at -304.

What is the projected score for Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers?

We project Milwaukee Bucks 112.4 and Indiana Pacers 114.0, about 226.4 points in total.

How are Indiana Pacers playing?

Indiana Pacers have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2317 points scored and 2451 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Milwaukee Bucks playing?

Milwaukee Bucks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2172 points scored and 2404 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Indiana Pacers and Milwaukee Bucks last met?

It ended Milwaukee Bucks 134, Indiana Pacers 123. In the last 4 meetings Indiana Pacers won 0 and Milwaukee Bucks won 4.

What is the best bet for Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers?

Pacers +6.5 at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pacers against Bucks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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