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NBAMon 2 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction

Target Center

Milwaukee BucksAway
107.4 : 115.2
projected points
Minnesota TimberwolvesHome
25%Bucks
75%Timberwolves
Eagle safe pickTimberwolves +0.5
-310

Quick answer

Our prediction for Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves is Minnesota Timberwolves to win, with a 75% chance. We project Milwaukee Bucks 107.4 and Minnesota Timberwolves 115.2. Our best bet is Timberwolves +0.5 at -310.

Prediction
Minnesota Timberwolves to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
Milwaukee Bucks 107, Minnesota Timberwolves 115
Projected total
222.6 points
Best bet
Timberwolves +0.5 at -310

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Timberwolves +0.5
76% chanceFair price -3102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bucks to win
25% chanceFair price +2991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Minnesota Timberwolves 75% and Milwaukee Bucks 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Minnesota Timberwolves won 3 of their last 5 and Milwaukee Bucks won 1 of their last 5. Minnesota Timberwolves come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Minnesota Timberwolves won 4 of their last 7 games at home. Milwaukee Bucks won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Minnesota Timberwolves score 112.1 points a game and let in 113.8. Milwaukee Bucks score 110.0 and let in 120.5. Their recent games average 225.9 and 230.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Minnesota Timberwolves won 3 and Milwaukee Bucks won 0. The last one ended Milwaukee Bucks 97, Minnesota Timberwolves 116.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Timberwolves +0.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Timberwolvesrest between games-5%
  • Bucksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves: Minnesota Timberwolves are favourites

The big picture

Minnesota Timberwolves host Milwaukee Bucks in the NBA on Mon 2 Nov, 20:00 at Target Center. Our prediction for Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves is Minnesota Timberwolves to win, with a 75% chance. We project Milwaukee Bucks 107.4 and Minnesota Timberwolves 115.2. Our best bet is Timberwolves +0.5 at -310.

Minnesota Timberwolves form

Minnesota Timberwolves have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2242 points scored and 2277 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Milwaukee Bucks form

Milwaukee Bucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2199 points scored and 2410 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Minnesota Timberwolves won 3, Milwaukee Bucks won 0. Last time out it finished Milwaukee Bucks 97, Minnesota Timberwolves 116.

Our call

We expect Milwaukee Bucks to score about 107.4 points and Minnesota Timberwolves about 115.2. That points to Minnesota Timberwolves to win. Our safest bet is Timberwolves +0.5 at -310. Our bold bet is Bucks to win at +299.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TimberwolvesBucks
Games played2020
Wins116
Losses914
Points scored22422199
Points conceded22772410
Scored per game112.1110.0
Conceded per game113.8120.5
Home record4W 3L3W 6L
Away record7W 6L3W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Timberwolves spreadCoversFair
Timberwolves -13.532%+210
Timberwolves -10.541%+142
Timberwolves -7.551%-103
Timberwolves -4.560%-152
Timberwolves -1.569%-224
Total pointsOverUnder
216.563%37%
219.557%43%
222.550%50%
225.544%56%
228.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Timberwolves +3.5 wins if Timberwolves win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

Our prediction for Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves is Minnesota Timberwolves to win, with a 75% chance. We project Milwaukee Bucks 107.4 and Minnesota Timberwolves 115.2. Our best bet is Timberwolves +0.5 at -310.

What is the projected score for Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

We project Milwaukee Bucks 107.4 and Minnesota Timberwolves 115.2, about 222.6 points in total.

How are Minnesota Timberwolves playing?

Minnesota Timberwolves have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2242 points scored and 2277 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Milwaukee Bucks playing?

Milwaukee Bucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2199 points scored and 2410 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Minnesota Timberwolves and Milwaukee Bucks last met?

It ended Milwaukee Bucks 97, Minnesota Timberwolves 116. In the last 3 meetings Minnesota Timberwolves won 3 and Milwaukee Bucks won 0.

What is the best bet for Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

Timberwolves +0.5 at -310, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Timberwolves against Bucks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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