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Predictions › United States › Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder
NBAWed 7 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction

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Milwaukee BucksAway
102.7 : 117.6
projected points
Oklahoma City ThunderHome
14%Bucks
86%Thunder
Eagle safe pickThunder -6.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 86% chance. We project Milwaukee Bucks 102.7 and Oklahoma City Thunder 117.6. Our best bet is Thunder -6.5 at -303.

Prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder to win
Chance
86%
Projected score
Milwaukee Bucks 103, Oklahoma City Thunder 118
Projected total
220.3 points
Best bet
Thunder -6.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Thunder -6.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oklahoma City Thunder 86% and Milwaukee Bucks 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oklahoma City Thunder won 2 of their last 5 and Milwaukee Bucks won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Oklahoma City Thunder won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Milwaukee Bucks won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Oklahoma City Thunder score 117.0 points a game and let in 109.8. Milwaukee Bucks score 108.3 and let in 120.9. Their recent games average 226.8 and 229.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Oklahoma City Thunder won 2 and Milwaukee Bucks won 1. The last one ended Oklahoma City Thunder 93, Milwaukee Bucks 110.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Thunder -6.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Thunderrest between games-3%
  • Bucksrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Oklahoma City Thunder are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Oklahoma City Thunder host Milwaukee Bucks in the NBA on Wed 7 Oct, 20:00 at Paycom Center. Our prediction for Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 86% chance. We project Milwaukee Bucks 102.7 and Oklahoma City Thunder 117.6. Our best bet is Thunder -6.5 at -303.

Oklahoma City Thunder form

Oklahoma City Thunder have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2340 points scored and 2196 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Milwaukee Bucks form

Milwaukee Bucks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2166 points scored and 2418 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Oklahoma City Thunder won 2, Milwaukee Bucks won 1. Last time out it finished Oklahoma City Thunder 93, Milwaukee Bucks 110.

Our call

We expect Milwaukee Bucks to score about 102.7 points and Oklahoma City Thunder about 117.6. That points to Oklahoma City Thunder to win. Our safest bet is Thunder -6.5 at -303.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ThunderBucks
Games played2020
Wins145
Losses615
Points scored23402166
Points conceded21962418
Scored per game117.0108.3
Conceded per game109.8120.9
Home record7W 3L4W 6L
Away record7W 3L1W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Thunder spreadCoversFair
Thunder -20.533%+207
Thunder -17.542%+140
Thunder -14.551%-105
Thunder -11.561%-154
Thunder -8.569%-228
Total pointsOverUnder
214.563%37%
217.556%44%
220.550%50%
223.543%57%
226.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Thunder +3.5 wins if Thunder win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

Our prediction for Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 86% chance. We project Milwaukee Bucks 102.7 and Oklahoma City Thunder 117.6. Our best bet is Thunder -6.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

We project Milwaukee Bucks 102.7 and Oklahoma City Thunder 117.6, about 220.3 points in total.

How are Oklahoma City Thunder playing?

Oklahoma City Thunder have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2340 points scored and 2196 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Milwaukee Bucks playing?

Milwaukee Bucks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2166 points scored and 2418 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Oklahoma City Thunder and Milwaukee Bucks last met?

It ended Oklahoma City Thunder 93, Milwaukee Bucks 110. In the last 3 meetings Oklahoma City Thunder won 2 and Milwaukee Bucks won 1.

What is the best bet for Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

Thunder -6.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Thunder against Bucks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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