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Predictions › United States › Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards
NBAWed 21 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards prediction

Capital One Arena

Milwaukee BucksAway
115.3 : 120.5
projected points
Washington WizardsHome
36%Bucks
64%Wizards
Eagle safe pickWizards to win
-205

Quick answer

Our prediction for Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards is Washington Wizards to win, with a 64% chance. We project Milwaukee Bucks 115.3 and Washington Wizards 120.5. Our best bet is Wizards to win at -205.

Prediction
Washington Wizards to win
Chance
64%
Projected score
Milwaukee Bucks 115, Washington Wizards 121
Projected total
235.9 points
Best bet
Wizards to win at -205

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Wizards to win
64% chancePrice -2051 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Wizards 64% and Milwaukee Bucks 36%. The bookmakers agree and make Washington Wizards the favourite at -205.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Wizards won 2 of their last 5 and Milwaukee Bucks won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Wizards won 1 of their last 9 games at home. Milwaukee Bucks won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Wizards score 114.0 points a game and let in 127.0. Milwaukee Bucks score 108.5 and let in 119.7. Their recent games average 241.0 and 228.3 points in total, and the market line is 238.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Washington Wizards won 3 and Milwaukee Bucks won 1. The last one ended Washington Wizards 109, Milwaukee Bucks 99.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Wizards to win has a 64% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wizardsrest between games-5%
  • Bucksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards: Washington Wizards are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Washington Wizards host Milwaukee Bucks in the NBA on Wed 21 Oct, 19:00 at Capital One Arena. Our prediction for Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards is Washington Wizards to win, with a 64% chance. We project Milwaukee Bucks 115.3 and Washington Wizards 120.5. Our best bet is Wizards to win at -205.

Washington Wizards form

Washington Wizards have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 2279 points scored and 2541 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Milwaukee Bucks form

Milwaukee Bucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2171 points scored and 2394 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Washington Wizards won 3, Milwaukee Bucks won 1. Last time out it finished Washington Wizards 109, Milwaukee Bucks 99.

Our call

We expect Milwaukee Bucks to score about 115.3 points and Washington Wizards about 120.5. That points to Washington Wizards to win. Our safest bet is Wizards to win at -205.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WizardsBucks
Games played2020
Wins36
Losses1714
Points scored22792171
Points conceded25412394
Scored per game114.0108.5
Conceded per game127.0119.7
Home record1W 8L4W 5L
Away record2W 9L2W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Wizards to win64%-178-205-4.7%
Bucks to win33%+202+170-10.5%
Wizards -6.544%+128-105-14.5%
Bucks +6.551%-103-115-5.0%
Over 238.5 points42%+136-110-19.0%
Under 238.5 points52%-109-110-0.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Wizards spreadCoversFair
Wizards -11.531%+226
Wizards -8.540%+153
Wizards -5.549%+104
Wizards -2.559%-141
Wizards +0.568%-208
Total pointsOverUnder
229.564%36%
232.557%43%
235.551%49%
238.544%56%
241.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Wizards +3.5 wins if Wizards win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards?

Our prediction for Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards is Washington Wizards to win, with a 64% chance. We project Milwaukee Bucks 115.3 and Washington Wizards 120.5. Our best bet is Wizards to win at -205.

What is the projected score for Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards?

We project Milwaukee Bucks 115.3 and Washington Wizards 120.5, about 235.9 points in total.

How are Washington Wizards playing?

Washington Wizards have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 2279 points scored and 2541 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Milwaukee Bucks playing?

Milwaukee Bucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2171 points scored and 2394 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Washington Wizards and Milwaukee Bucks last met?

It ended Washington Wizards 109, Milwaukee Bucks 99. In the last 4 meetings Washington Wizards won 3 and Milwaukee Bucks won 1.

What is the best bet for Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards?

Wizards to win at -205, with a 64% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wizards against Bucks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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