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Predictions › United States › Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever
WNBATue 22 Sept, 20:00 United States time

Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever prediction

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Minnesota LynxAway
90.5 : 90.5
projected points
Indiana FeverHome
51%Lynx
49%Fever
Eagle safe pickLynx +7.5
-314

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever is Minnesota Lynx to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Lynx 90.5 and Indiana Fever 90.5. Our best bet is Lynx +7.5 at -314.

Prediction
Minnesota Lynx to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Minnesota Lynx 90, Indiana Fever 91
Projected total
181.0 points
Best bet
Lynx +7.5 at -314

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Lynx +7.5
76% chanceFair price -3142 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Indiana Fever 49% and Minnesota Lynx 51%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Indiana Fever won 3 of their last 5 and Minnesota Lynx won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Indiana Fever won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Minnesota Lynx won 8 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Indiana Fever score 100.5 points a game and let in 93.0. Minnesota Lynx score 92.3 and let in 86.5. Their recent games average 193.6 and 178.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Indiana Fever won 0 and Minnesota Lynx won 1. The last one ended Minnesota Lynx 108, Indiana Fever 100.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Lynx +7.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever: Minnesota Lynx shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Indiana Fever host Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA on Tue 22 Sept, 20:00 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Our prediction for Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever is Minnesota Lynx to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Lynx 90.5 and Indiana Fever 90.5. Our best bet is Lynx +7.5 at -314.

Indiana Fever form

Indiana Fever have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2011 points scored and 1860 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Minnesota Lynx form

Minnesota Lynx have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 1847 points scored and 1731 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Indiana Fever won 0, Minnesota Lynx won 1. Last time out it finished Minnesota Lynx 108, Indiana Fever 100.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Lynx to score about 90.5 points and Indiana Fever about 90.5. That points to Minnesota Lynx to win. Our safest bet is Lynx +7.5 at -314.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FeverLynx
Games played2020
Wins1416
Losses64
Points scored20111847
Points conceded18601731
Scored per game100.592.3
Conceded per game93.086.5
Home record6W 2L8W 3L
Away record8W 4L8W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Fever spreadCoversFair
Fever -6.528%+258
Fever -3.538%+165
Fever -0.548%+107
Fever +2.559%-145
Fever +5.569%-226
Total pointsOverUnder
175.564%36%
178.557%43%
181.549%51%
184.541%59%
187.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Fever +3.5 wins if Fever win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever?

Our prediction for Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever is Minnesota Lynx to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Lynx 90.5 and Indiana Fever 90.5. Our best bet is Lynx +7.5 at -314.

What is the projected score for Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever?

We project Minnesota Lynx 90.5 and Indiana Fever 90.5, about 181.0 points in total.

How are Indiana Fever playing?

Indiana Fever have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2011 points scored and 1860 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Minnesota Lynx playing?

Minnesota Lynx have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 1847 points scored and 1731 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Indiana Fever and Minnesota Lynx last met?

It ended Minnesota Lynx 108, Indiana Fever 100. In the last 1 meeting Indiana Fever won 0 and Minnesota Lynx won 1.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever?

Lynx +7.5 at -314, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fever against Lynx. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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