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NBAMon 26 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction

Rocket Arena

Minnesota TimberwolvesAway
117.9 : 119.2
projected points
Cleveland CavaliersHome
48%Timberwolves
52%Cavaliers
Eagle safe pickTimberwolves +9.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Timberwolves 117.9 and Cleveland Cavaliers 119.2. Our best bet is Timberwolves +9.5 at -299.

Prediction
Cleveland Cavaliers to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Minnesota Timberwolves 118, Cleveland Cavaliers 119
Projected total
237.1 points
Best bet
Timberwolves +9.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Timberwolves +9.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cleveland Cavaliers 52% and Minnesota Timberwolves 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cleveland Cavaliers won 1 of their last 5 and Minnesota Timberwolves won 2 of their last 5. Minnesota Timberwolves come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cleveland Cavaliers won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Minnesota Timberwolves won 6 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Cleveland Cavaliers score 108.3 points a game and let in 112.3. Minnesota Timberwolves score 113.2 and let in 116.8. Their recent games average 220.6 and 230.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Cleveland Cavaliers won 1 and Minnesota Timberwolves won 1. The last one ended Cleveland Cavaliers 146, Minnesota Timberwolves 134.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Timberwolves +9.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Timberwolvesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers: Cleveland Cavaliers shade it

The big picture

Cleveland Cavaliers host Minnesota Timberwolves in the NBA on Mon 26 Oct, 19:00 at Rocket Arena. Our prediction for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Timberwolves 117.9 and Cleveland Cavaliers 119.2. Our best bet is Timberwolves +9.5 at -299.

Cleveland Cavaliers form

Cleveland Cavaliers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2165 points scored and 2246 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Minnesota Timberwolves form

Minnesota Timberwolves have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2264 points scored and 2336 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Cleveland Cavaliers won 1, Minnesota Timberwolves won 1. Last time out it finished Cleveland Cavaliers 146, Minnesota Timberwolves 134.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Timberwolves to score about 117.9 points and Cleveland Cavaliers about 119.2. That points to Cleveland Cavaliers to win. Our safest bet is Timberwolves +9.5 at -299.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CavaliersTimberwolves
Games played2020
Wins811
Losses129
Points scored21652264
Points conceded22462336
Scored per game108.3113.2
Conceded per game112.3116.8
Home record6W 4L5W 3L
Away record2W 8L6W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Cavaliers spreadCoversFair
Cavaliers -7.531%+222
Cavaliers -4.540%+150
Cavaliers -1.549%+102
Cavaliers +1.559%-143
Cavaliers +4.568%-211
Total pointsOverUnder
231.562%38%
234.556%44%
237.549%51%
240.542%58%
243.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Cavaliers +3.5 wins if Cavaliers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

Our prediction for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Timberwolves 117.9 and Cleveland Cavaliers 119.2. Our best bet is Timberwolves +9.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

We project Minnesota Timberwolves 117.9 and Cleveland Cavaliers 119.2, about 237.1 points in total.

How are Cleveland Cavaliers playing?

Cleveland Cavaliers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2165 points scored and 2246 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Minnesota Timberwolves playing?

Minnesota Timberwolves have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2264 points scored and 2336 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Cleveland Cavaliers and Minnesota Timberwolves last met?

It ended Cleveland Cavaliers 146, Minnesota Timberwolves 134. In the last 2 meetings Cleveland Cavaliers won 1 and Minnesota Timberwolves won 1.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

Timberwolves +9.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cavaliers against Timberwolves. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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