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Predictions › United States › Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets
NBAWed 4 Nov, 20:30 United States time

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets prediction

Toyota Center (Houston)

Minnesota TimberwolvesAway
112.3 : 115.7
projected points
Houston RocketsHome
44%Timberwolves
56%Rockets
Eagle safe pickTimberwolves +11.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets is Houston Rockets to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Timberwolves 112.3 and Houston Rockets 115.7. Our best bet is Timberwolves +11.5 at -303.

Prediction
Houston Rockets to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Minnesota Timberwolves 112, Houston Rockets 116
Projected total
228.1 points
Best bet
Timberwolves +11.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Timberwolves +11.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Timberwolves to win
38% chanceFair price +1611 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Houston Rockets 56% and Minnesota Timberwolves 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Houston Rockets won 4 of their last 5 and Minnesota Timberwolves won 3 of their last 5. Houston Rockets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Houston Rockets won 8 of their last 12 games at home. Minnesota Timberwolves won 7 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Houston Rockets score 115.2 points a game and let in 107.6. Minnesota Timberwolves score 112.7 and let in 112.8. Their recent games average 222.8 and 225.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Houston Rockets won 1 and Minnesota Timberwolves won 2. The last one ended Houston Rockets 132, Minnesota Timberwolves 136.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Timberwolves +11.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rocketsrest between games-5%
  • Timberwolvesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets: Houston Rockets shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Houston Rockets host Minnesota Timberwolves in the NBA on Wed 4 Nov, 20:30 at Toyota Center (Houston). Our prediction for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets is Houston Rockets to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Timberwolves 112.3 and Houston Rockets 115.7. Our best bet is Timberwolves +11.5 at -303.

Houston Rockets form

Houston Rockets have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2304 points scored and 2152 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Minnesota Timberwolves form

Minnesota Timberwolves have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2254 points scored and 2255 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Houston Rockets won 1, Minnesota Timberwolves won 2. Last time out it finished Houston Rockets 132, Minnesota Timberwolves 136.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Timberwolves to score about 112.3 points and Houston Rockets about 115.7. That points to Houston Rockets to win. Our safest bet is Timberwolves +11.5 at -303. Our bold bet is Timberwolves to win at +161.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RocketsTimberwolves
Games played2020
Wins1412
Losses68
Points scored23042254
Points conceded21522255
Scored per game115.2112.7
Conceded per game107.6112.8
Home record8W 4L5W 3L
Away record6W 2L7W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Rockets spreadCoversFair
Rockets -9.531%+219
Rockets -6.540%+148
Rockets -3.550%+101
Rockets -0.559%-145
Rockets +2.568%-215
Total pointsOverUnder
222.562%38%
225.556%44%
228.549%51%
231.542%58%
234.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Rockets +3.5 wins if Rockets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Kawhi Leonard Sitting Out Against Timberwolves With Knee Swelling

Kawhi Leonard will sit out his first game this season for the Toronto Raptors due to left knee swelling.

6 hours ago
NBA

Amen Thompson Block Seals Rockets Win Over Spurs

Amen Thompson swatted Victor Wembanyama in the final seconds to give the Houston Rockets a 114-110 victory.

24 Oct 2026
NBA

Rockets Trap Kyrie Irving as Dallas Drops Season Opener

Houston rolled to a 128-110 win over Dallas, swarming Kyrie Irving and building a massive lead in the second quarter.

22 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets?

Our prediction for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets is Houston Rockets to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Timberwolves 112.3 and Houston Rockets 115.7. Our best bet is Timberwolves +11.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets?

We project Minnesota Timberwolves 112.3 and Houston Rockets 115.7, about 228.1 points in total.

How are Houston Rockets playing?

Houston Rockets have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2304 points scored and 2152 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Minnesota Timberwolves playing?

Minnesota Timberwolves have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2254 points scored and 2255 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Houston Rockets and Minnesota Timberwolves last met?

It ended Houston Rockets 132, Minnesota Timberwolves 136. In the last 3 meetings Houston Rockets won 1 and Minnesota Timberwolves won 2.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets?

Timberwolves +11.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rockets against Timberwolves. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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