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Predictions › United States › Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks
NBAMon 5 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction

Fiserv Forum

Minnesota TimberwolvesAway
121.3 : 116.3
projected points
Milwaukee BucksHome
68%Timberwolves
32%Bucks
Eagle safe pickTimberwolves +3.5
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks is Minnesota Timberwolves to win, with a 68% chance. We project Minnesota Timberwolves 121.3 and Milwaukee Bucks 116.3. Our best bet is Timberwolves +3.5 at -305.

Prediction
Minnesota Timberwolves to win
Chance
68%
Projected score
Minnesota Timberwolves 121, Milwaukee Bucks 116
Projected total
237.6 points
Best bet
Timberwolves +3.5 at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Timberwolves +3.5
75% chanceFair price -3052 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bucks to win
32% chanceFair price +2111 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Milwaukee Bucks 32% and Minnesota Timberwolves 68%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Milwaukee Bucks won 2 of their last 5 and Minnesota Timberwolves won 1 of their last 5. Milwaukee Bucks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Milwaukee Bucks won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Minnesota Timberwolves won 5 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Milwaukee Bucks score 108.3 points a game and let in 120.9. Minnesota Timberwolves score 112.7 and let in 115.3. Their recent games average 229.2 and 228.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Milwaukee Bucks won 0 and Minnesota Timberwolves won 2. The last one ended Milwaukee Bucks 106, Minnesota Timberwolves 139.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Timberwolves +3.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bucksrest between games-3%
  • Timberwolvesrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks: Minnesota Timberwolves are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Milwaukee Bucks host Minnesota Timberwolves in the NBA on Mon 5 Oct, 20:00 at Fiserv Forum. Our prediction for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks is Minnesota Timberwolves to win, with a 68% chance. We project Minnesota Timberwolves 121.3 and Milwaukee Bucks 116.3. Our best bet is Timberwolves +3.5 at -305.

Milwaukee Bucks form

Milwaukee Bucks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2166 points scored and 2418 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Minnesota Timberwolves form

Minnesota Timberwolves have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2254 points scored and 2307 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Milwaukee Bucks won 0, Minnesota Timberwolves won 2. Last time out it finished Milwaukee Bucks 106, Minnesota Timberwolves 139.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Timberwolves to score about 121.3 points and Milwaukee Bucks about 116.3. That points to Minnesota Timberwolves to win. Our safest bet is Timberwolves +3.5 at -305. Our bold bet is Bucks to win at +211.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BucksTimberwolves
Games played2020
Wins510
Losses1510
Points scored21662254
Points conceded24182307
Scored per game108.3112.7
Conceded per game120.9115.3
Home record4W 6L5W 3L
Away record1W 9L5W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Bucks spreadCoversFair
Bucks -1.530%+230
Bucks +1.539%+156
Bucks +4.549%+106
Bucks +7.558%-138
Bucks +10.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
231.563%37%
234.557%43%
237.550%50%
240.544%56%
243.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bucks +3.5 wins if Bucks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

NBA Commissioner Details Hard Decision to Strip Clippers of Five Draft Picks

NBA commissioner Adam Silver explained the league's decision to punish the LA Clippers with massive penalties for salary cap violations.

15 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Our prediction for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks is Minnesota Timberwolves to win, with a 68% chance. We project Minnesota Timberwolves 121.3 and Milwaukee Bucks 116.3. Our best bet is Timberwolves +3.5 at -305.

What is the projected score for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks?

We project Minnesota Timberwolves 121.3 and Milwaukee Bucks 116.3, about 237.6 points in total.

How are Milwaukee Bucks playing?

Milwaukee Bucks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2166 points scored and 2418 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Minnesota Timberwolves playing?

Minnesota Timberwolves have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2254 points scored and 2307 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Milwaukee Bucks and Minnesota Timberwolves last met?

It ended Milwaukee Bucks 106, Minnesota Timberwolves 139. In the last 2 meetings Milwaukee Bucks won 0 and Minnesota Timberwolves won 2.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Timberwolves +3.5 at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bucks against Timberwolves. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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