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Predictions › United States › Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants
MLBTue 22 Sept, 21:45 United States time

Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants prediction

Oracle Park

Minnesota TwinsAway
4.4 : 5.2
projected runs
San Francisco GiantsHome
41%Twins
59%Giants
Eagle safe pickGiants +1.5
-244

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants is San Francisco Giants to win, with a 59% chance. We project Minnesota Twins 4.4 and San Francisco Giants 5.2. Our best bet is Giants +1.5 at -244.

Prediction
San Francisco Giants to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Minnesota Twins 4, San Francisco Giants 5
Projected total
9.6 runs
Best bet
Giants +1.5 at -244

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Giants +1.5
71% chanceFair price -2441 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Twins to win
40% chanceFair price +1511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Francisco Giants 59% and Minnesota Twins 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Francisco Giants won 3 of their last 5 and Minnesota Twins won 2 of their last 5. San Francisco Giants come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Francisco Giants won 7 of their last 12 games at home. Minnesota Twins won 3 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San Francisco Giants score 5.5 runs a game and let in 5.3. Minnesota Twins score 4.5 and let in 5.2. Their recent games average 10.7 and 9.6 runs in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Giants +1.5 has a 71% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Giantsrest between games-5%
  • Twinsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants: San Francisco Giants are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

San Francisco Giants host Minnesota Twins in the MLB on Tue 22 Sept, 21:45 at Oracle Park. Our prediction for Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants is San Francisco Giants to win, with a 59% chance. We project Minnesota Twins 4.4 and San Francisco Giants 5.2. Our best bet is Giants +1.5 at -244.

San Francisco Giants form

San Francisco Giants have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 109 runs scored and 105 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Minnesota Twins form

Minnesota Twins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 89 runs scored and 103 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 9 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Twins to score about 4.4 runs and San Francisco Giants about 5.2. That points to San Francisco Giants to win. Our safest bet is Giants +1.5 at -244. Our bold bet is Twins to win at +151.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GiantsTwins
Games played2020
Wins107
Losses1013
Runs scored10989
Runs conceded105103
Scored per game5.54.5
Conceded per game5.35.2
Home record7W 5L4W 4L
Away record3W 5L3W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Giants spreadCoversFair
Giants -2.534%+197
Giants -1.543%+134
Giants -0.552%-109
Giants +0.562%-160
Giants +1.570%-236
Total runsOverUnder
7.568%32%
8.560%40%
9.551%49%
10.542%58%
11.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Giants +3.5 wins if Giants win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants?

Our prediction for Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants is San Francisco Giants to win, with a 59% chance. We project Minnesota Twins 4.4 and San Francisco Giants 5.2. Our best bet is Giants +1.5 at -244.

What is the projected score for Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants?

We project Minnesota Twins 4.4 and San Francisco Giants 5.2, about 9.6 runs in total.

How are San Francisco Giants playing?

San Francisco Giants have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 109 runs scored and 105 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Minnesota Twins playing?

Minnesota Twins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 89 runs scored and 103 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 9 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants?

Giants +1.5 at -244, with a 71% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Giants against Twins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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