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Predictions › United States › Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City
MLSWed 28 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction

Allianz Field

Minnesota United FCHome
2.00 : 1.10
expected goals
Sporting Kansas CityAway
58%Minnesota
23%Draw
20%Kansas City
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-442

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City is Minnesota United FC to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -442.

Prediction
Minnesota United FC to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Minnesota United FC 2.0, Sporting Kansas City 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -442
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price -4422 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Minnesota United FC to win and Over 2.5
42% chanceFair price +1401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Minnesota United FC 58%, the draw 23% and Sporting Kansas City 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Minnesota United FC took 5 points from their last 5 games and Sporting Kansas City took 4 from 5. Minnesota United FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Minnesota United FC won 1 of their last 11 games at home. Sporting Kansas City won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Minnesota United FC score 1.8 goals a game and let in 2.0. Sporting Kansas City score 1.4 and let in 2.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Minnesota United FC games and 16 of Sporting Kansas City games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Minnesota United FC won 1 and Sporting Kansas City won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sporting Kansas City 2, Minnesota United FC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Minnesotarecent form-3%
  • Kansas Cityrecent form-1%
  • Minnesotarest between games-5%
  • Kansas Cityrest between games-5%
Minnesota form D D D L LKansas City form D L D L WHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: Minnesota United FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Minnesota United FC host Sporting Kansas City in the MLS on Wed 28 Oct, 20:30 at Allianz Field. Our prediction for Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City is Minnesota United FC to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -442.

Minnesota United FC form

Minnesota United FC have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Sporting Kansas City form

Sporting Kansas City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Minnesota United FC won 1, Sporting Kansas City won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sporting Kansas City 2, Minnesota United FC 1.

Our call

We expect Minnesota United FC to score about 2.0 goals and Sporting Kansas City about 1.1. That points to Minnesota United FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -442. Our bold bet is Minnesota United FC to win and Over 2.5 at +140.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MinnesotaKansas City
Games played2020
Wins35
Draws82
Losses913
Goals scored3628
Goals conceded4149
Scored per game1.81.4
Conceded per game2.02.5
Home record1W 6D 4L3W 2D 5L
Away record2W 2D 5L2W 0D 8L
Clean sheets5%5%
Both teams scored90%65%
Over 2.5 goals75%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%-457
Over 2.5 goals60%-148
Over 3.5 goals37%+168
Both teams to score58%-139
Minnesota United FC or Draw80%-407
Sporting Kansas City or Draw42%+136
Minnesota United FC to win and Over 2.540%+149
Sporting Kansas City to win and Over 2.513%+691
Minnesota United FC clean sheet33%+199
Sporting Kansas City clean sheet14%+637

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.5%
2-19.9%
2-09.0%
1-08.5%
3-16.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Our prediction for Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City is Minnesota United FC to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -442.

What is the score prediction for Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Minnesota United FC to score 2.0 goals and Sporting Kansas City 1.1.

Will both teams score in Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 18 of Minnesota United FC last 20 games and 13 of Sporting Kansas City last 20.

How are Minnesota United FC playing?

Minnesota United FC have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Sporting Kansas City playing?

Sporting Kansas City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Minnesota United FC and Sporting Kansas City last met?

It ended Sporting Kansas City 2, Minnesota United FC 1. In the last 2 meetings Minnesota United FC won 1 and Sporting Kansas City won 1.

What is the best bet for Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Over 1.5 goals at -442, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Minnesota against Kansas City. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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