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Predictions › United States › Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis CITY SC
MLSSat 17 Oct, 16:30 United States time

Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis CITY SC prediction

Allianz Field

Minnesota United FCHome
0.94 : 1.85
expected goals
St. Louis CITY SCAway
18%Minnesota
24%Draw
58%St. Louis
Eagle safe pickSt. Louis CITY SC or Draw
-382

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis CITY SC is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -382.

Prediction
St. Louis CITY SC to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Minnesota United FC 0.9, St. Louis CITY SC 1.9
Best bet
St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -382
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

St. Louis CITY SC or Draw
79% chanceFair price -3822 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price +1851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Minnesota United FC 18%, the draw 24% and St. Louis CITY SC 58%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Minnesota United FC took 0 points from their last 5 games and St. Louis CITY SC took 13 from 5. St. Louis CITY SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Minnesota United FC won 1 of their last 11 games at home. St. Louis CITY SC won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Minnesota United FC score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.8. St. Louis CITY SC score 2.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Minnesota United FC games and 14 of St. Louis CITY SC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Minnesota United FC won 0 and St. Louis CITY SC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended St. Louis CITY SC 4, Minnesota United FC 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    St. Louis CITY SC or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Minnesotarecent form-7%
  • St. Louisrecent form+6%
Minnesota form L L L L LSt. Louis form W W W W DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis CITY SC: St. Louis CITY SC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Minnesota United FC host St. Louis CITY SC in the MLS on Sat 17 Oct, 16:30 at Allianz Field. Our prediction for Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis CITY SC is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -382.

Minnesota United FC form

Minnesota United FC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

St. Louis CITY SC form

St. Louis CITY SC have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Minnesota United FC won 0, St. Louis CITY SC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished St. Louis CITY SC 4, Minnesota United FC 2.

Our call

We expect Minnesota United FC to score about 0.9 goals and St. Louis CITY SC about 1.9. That points to St. Louis CITY SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -382. Our bold bet is St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.5 at +185.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MinnesotaSt. Louis
Games played2020
Wins412
Draws65
Losses103
Goals scored3242
Goals conceded3627
Scored per game1.62.1
Conceded per game1.81.4
Home record1W 5D 5L7W 2D 1L
Away record3W 1D 5L5W 3D 2L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored75%75%
Over 2.5 goals60%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%-342
Over 2.5 goals53%-112
Over 3.5 goals31%+226
Both teams to score52%-109
Minnesota United FC or Draw42%+139
St. Louis CITY SC or Draw82%-451
Minnesota United FC to win and Over 2.510%+870
St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.537%+171
Minnesota United FC clean sheet16%+537
St. Louis CITY SC clean sheet39%+156

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.3%
0-110.7%
0-210.5%
1-29.9%
0-06.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis CITY SC?

Our prediction for Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis CITY SC is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -382.

What is the score prediction for Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis CITY SC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-2. We expect Minnesota United FC to score 0.9 goals and St. Louis CITY SC 1.9.

Will both teams score in Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis CITY SC?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Minnesota United FC last 20 games and 15 of St. Louis CITY SC last 20.

How are Minnesota United FC playing?

Minnesota United FC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are St. Louis CITY SC playing?

St. Louis CITY SC have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Minnesota United FC and St. Louis CITY SC last met?

It ended St. Louis CITY SC 4, Minnesota United FC 2. In the last 1 meeting Minnesota United FC won 0 and St. Louis CITY SC won 1.

What is the best bet for Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis CITY SC?

St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -382, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Minnesota against St. Louis. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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