Predictions › United States › Minnesota Wild vs Buffalo Sabres
NHLTue 6 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Minnesota Wild vs Buffalo Sabres prediction

KeyBank Center

Minnesota WildAway
3.3 : 3.4
projected goals
Buffalo SabresHome
50%Wild
50%Sabres
Eagle safe pickWild +2
-369

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota Wild vs Buffalo Sabres is Minnesota Wild to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Wild 3.3 and Buffalo Sabres 3.4. Our best bet is Wild +2 at -369.

Prediction
Minnesota Wild to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
Minnesota Wild 3, Buffalo Sabres 3
Projected total
6.7 goals
Best bet
Wild +2 at -369

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Wild +2
79% chanceFair price -3692 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Wild to win
44% chanceFair price +1291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Buffalo Sabres 50% and Minnesota Wild 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Buffalo Sabres won 1 of their last 5 and Minnesota Wild won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Buffalo Sabres won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Minnesota Wild won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Buffalo Sabres score 3.3 goals a game and let in 2.8. Minnesota Wild score 3.2 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 6.0 and 6.5 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Buffalo Sabres won 1 and Minnesota Wild won 1. The last one ended Buffalo Sabres 4, Minnesota Wild 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Wild +2 has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sabresrest between games-5%
  • Wildrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota Wild vs Buffalo Sabres: Minnesota Wild shade it

The big picture

Buffalo Sabres host Minnesota Wild in the NHL on Tue 6 Oct, 19:00 at KeyBank Center. Our prediction for Minnesota Wild vs Buffalo Sabres is Minnesota Wild to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Wild 3.3 and Buffalo Sabres 3.4. Our best bet is Wild +2 at -369.

Buffalo Sabres form

Buffalo Sabres have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 65 goals scored and 55 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Minnesota Wild form

Minnesota Wild have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 66 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Buffalo Sabres won 1, Minnesota Wild won 1. Last time out it finished Buffalo Sabres 4, Minnesota Wild 5.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Wild to score about 3.3 goals and Buffalo Sabres about 3.4. That points to Minnesota Wild to win. Our safest bet is Wild +2 at -369. Our bold bet is Wild to win at +129.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SabresWild
Games played2020
Wins108
Losses1012
Goals scored6564
Goals conceded5566
Scored per game3.33.2
Conceded per game2.83.3
Home record4W 7L6W 3L
Away record6W 3L2W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Sabres spreadCoversFair
Sabres -1.529%+247
Sabres -0.544%+125
Sabres +0.561%-155
Total goalsOverUnder
5.570%30%
6.554%46%
7.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Sabres +3.5 wins if Sabres win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota Wild vs Buffalo Sabres?

Our prediction for Minnesota Wild vs Buffalo Sabres is Minnesota Wild to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Wild 3.3 and Buffalo Sabres 3.4. Our best bet is Wild +2 at -369.

What is the projected score for Minnesota Wild vs Buffalo Sabres?

We project Minnesota Wild 3.3 and Buffalo Sabres 3.4, about 6.7 goals in total.

How are Buffalo Sabres playing?

Buffalo Sabres have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 65 goals scored and 55 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Minnesota Wild playing?

Minnesota Wild have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 66 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Buffalo Sabres and Minnesota Wild last met?

It ended Buffalo Sabres 4, Minnesota Wild 5. In the last 2 meetings Buffalo Sabres won 1 and Minnesota Wild won 1.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Wild vs Buffalo Sabres?

Wild +2 at -369, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sabres against Wild. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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