Predictions › United States › Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames
NHLThu 19 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames prediction

Scotiabank Saddledome

Minnesota WildAway
3.1 : 2.8
projected goals
Calgary FlamesHome
58%Wild
42%Flames
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-488

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames is Minnesota Wild to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Wild 3.1 and Calgary Flames 2.8. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -488.

Prediction
Minnesota Wild to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
Minnesota Wild 3, Calgary Flames 3
Projected total
5.9 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -488

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
83% chanceFair price -4882 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Flames to win
42% chanceFair price +1381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Calgary Flames 42% and Minnesota Wild 58%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Calgary Flames won 2 of their last 5 and Minnesota Wild won 3 of their last 5. Minnesota Wild come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Calgary Flames won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Minnesota Wild won 7 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Calgary Flames score 2.5 goals a game and let in 3.5. Minnesota Wild score 3.2 and let in 2.3. Their recent games average 6.0 and 5.5 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Calgary Flames won 2 and Minnesota Wild won 2. The last one ended Calgary Flames 2, Minnesota Wild 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Flamesrest between games-5%
  • Wildrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames: Minnesota Wild shade it

The big picture

Calgary Flames host Minnesota Wild in the NHL on Thu 19 Nov, 20:00 at Scotiabank Saddledome. Our prediction for Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames is Minnesota Wild to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Wild 3.1 and Calgary Flames 2.8. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -488.

Calgary Flames form

Calgary Flames have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 71 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Minnesota Wild form

Minnesota Wild have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 45 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Calgary Flames won 2, Minnesota Wild won 2. Last time out it finished Calgary Flames 2, Minnesota Wild 1.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Wild to score about 3.1 goals and Calgary Flames about 2.8. That points to Minnesota Wild to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -488. Our bold bet is Flames to win at +138.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FlamesWild
Games played2020
Wins812
Losses128
Goals scored5064
Goals conceded7145
Scored per game2.53.2
Conceded per game3.52.3
Home record6W 4L5W 3L
Away record2W 8L7W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Flames spreadCoversFair
Flames -0.537%+172
Flames +0.553%-113
Flames +1.569%-222
Total goalsOverUnder
4.573%27%
5.557%43%
6.540%60%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Flames +3.5 wins if Flames win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames?

Our prediction for Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames is Minnesota Wild to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Wild 3.1 and Calgary Flames 2.8. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -488.

What is the projected score for Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames?

We project Minnesota Wild 3.1 and Calgary Flames 2.8, about 5.9 goals in total.

How are Calgary Flames playing?

Calgary Flames have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 71 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Minnesota Wild playing?

Minnesota Wild have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 45 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Calgary Flames and Minnesota Wild last met?

It ended Calgary Flames 2, Minnesota Wild 1. In the last 4 meetings Calgary Flames won 2 and Minnesota Wild won 2.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames?

Over 4 goals at -488, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Flames against Wild. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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