Minnesota Wild vs Florida Panthers prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Wild +1.5

69% chancePrice -192+4.3% value2 units

★

Eagle value pick

Wild +1.5

69% chancePrice -192+4.3% value2 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Florida Panthers 55% and Minnesota Wild 45%. The bookmakers agree and make Florida Panthers the favourite at -155.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Florida Panthers won 3 of their last 5 and Minnesota Wild won 1 of their last 5. Florida Panthers come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Florida Panthers won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Minnesota Wild won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Florida Panthers score 3.3 goals a game and let in 3.1. Minnesota Wild score 3.2 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 6.5 and 6.5 goals in total, and the market line is 6.5.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 2 meetings, Florida Panthers won 1 and Minnesota Wild won 1. The last one ended Florida Panthers 2, Minnesota Wild 3.

6. 6
   Where the value is

   Wild +1.5 is priced at -192. Our fair price is -218, so the bookmaker pays about 4.3% more than it should.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Panthers +3.5 wins if Panthers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.