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Predictions › United States › Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs
NHLThu 12 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction

Scotiabank Arena

Minnesota WildAway
3.6 : 2.9
projected goals
Toronto Maple LeafsHome
64%Wild
36%Maple Leafs
Eagle safe pickWild +1
-370

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Minnesota Wild to win, with a 64% chance. We project Minnesota Wild 3.6 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9. Our best bet is Wild +1 at -370.

Prediction
Minnesota Wild to win
Chance
64%
Projected score
Minnesota Wild 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Projected total
6.6 goals
Best bet
Wild +1 at -370

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Wild +1
79% chanceFair price -3702 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Maple Leafs to win
36% chanceFair price +1751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto Maple Leafs 36% and Minnesota Wild 64%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 3 of their last 5 and Minnesota Wild won 4 of their last 5. Minnesota Wild come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Minnesota Wild won 6 of their last 13 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toronto Maple Leafs score 3.7 goals a game and let in 3.2. Minnesota Wild score 3.0 and let in 2.3. Their recent games average 6.9 and 5.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Toronto Maple Leafs won 1 and Minnesota Wild won 1. The last one ended Minnesota Wild 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Wild +1 has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-2%
  • Wildrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Minnesota Wild are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toronto Maple Leafs host Minnesota Wild in the NHL on Thu 12 Nov, 19:00 at Scotiabank Arena. Our prediction for Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Minnesota Wild to win, with a 64% chance. We project Minnesota Wild 3.6 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9. Our best bet is Wild +1 at -370.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 74 goals scored and 64 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Minnesota Wild form

Minnesota Wild have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 59 goals scored and 46 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 7 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Toronto Maple Leafs won 1, Minnesota Wild won 1. Last time out it finished Minnesota Wild 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Wild to score about 3.6 goals and Toronto Maple Leafs about 2.9. That points to Minnesota Wild to win. Our safest bet is Wild +1 at -370. Our bold bet is Maple Leafs to win at +175.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Maple LeafsWild
Games played2020
Wins1011
Losses109
Goals scored7459
Goals conceded6446
Scored per game3.73.0
Conceded per game3.22.3
Home record5W 5L5W 2L
Away record5W 5L6W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Maple Leafs spreadCoversFair
Maple Leafs -0.531%+220
Maple Leafs +0.547%+112
Maple Leafs +1.563%-174
Total goalsOverUnder
5.568%32%
6.551%49%
7.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Maple Leafs +3.5 wins if Maple Leafs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Quinn Hughes Hears Boos in Return to Vancouver With Wild

Quinn Hughes faced boos from Vancouver fans as he returned to Rogers Arena for the first time since his trade to Minnesota.

26 Oct 2026
NHL

Quinn Hughes Stays Calm Over Contract Talks at Minnesota Camp

Quinn Hughes is in no rush to sign an extension with Minnesota as training camp begins.

18 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Our prediction for Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Minnesota Wild to win, with a 64% chance. We project Minnesota Wild 3.6 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9. Our best bet is Wild +1 at -370.

What is the projected score for Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

We project Minnesota Wild 3.6 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9, about 6.6 goals in total.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 74 goals scored and 64 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Minnesota Wild playing?

Minnesota Wild have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 59 goals scored and 46 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 7 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Toronto Maple Leafs and Minnesota Wild last met?

It ended Minnesota Wild 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4. In the last 2 meetings Toronto Maple Leafs won 1 and Minnesota Wild won 1.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Wild +1 at -370, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Maple Leafs against Wild. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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