Predictions › United States › Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals
NHLSun 1 Nov, 15:30 United States time

Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals prediction

Capital One Arena

Minnesota WildAway
2.9 : 3.5
projected goals
Washington CapitalsHome
44%Wild
56%Capitals
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-373

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Wild 2.9 and Washington Capitals 3.5. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -373.

Prediction
Washington Capitals to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Minnesota Wild 3, Washington Capitals 3
Projected total
6.4 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -373

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
79% chanceFair price -3732 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Wild to win
39% chanceFair price +1551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Capitals 56% and Minnesota Wild 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Capitals won 2 of their last 5 and Minnesota Wild won 3 of their last 5. Minnesota Wild come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Capitals won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Minnesota Wild won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Capitals score 3.5 goals a game and let in 2.9. Minnesota Wild score 3.0 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 6.4 and 6.1 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Washington Capitals won 1 and Minnesota Wild won 1. The last one ended Minnesota Wild 5, Washington Capitals 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Capitalsrest between games-2%
  • Wildrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals: Washington Capitals shade it

The big picture

Washington Capitals host Minnesota Wild in the NHL on Sun 1 Nov, 15:30 at Capital One Arena. Our prediction for Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Wild 2.9 and Washington Capitals 3.5. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -373.

Washington Capitals form

Washington Capitals have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 58 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Minnesota Wild form

Minnesota Wild have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Washington Capitals won 1, Minnesota Wild won 1. Last time out it finished Minnesota Wild 5, Washington Capitals 0.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Wild to score about 2.9 goals and Washington Capitals about 3.5. That points to Washington Capitals to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -373. Our bold bet is Wild to win at +155.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CapitalsWild
Games played2020
Wins139
Losses711
Goals scored7061
Goals conceded5861
Scored per game3.53.0
Conceded per game2.93.0
Home record8W 2L7W 2L
Away record5W 5L2W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Capitals spreadCoversFair
Capitals -1.535%+189
Capitals -0.551%-104
Capitals +0.567%-203
Total goalsOverUnder
5.565%35%
6.548%52%
7.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Capitals +3.5 wins if Capitals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals?

Our prediction for Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Wild 2.9 and Washington Capitals 3.5. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -373.

What is the projected score for Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals?

We project Minnesota Wild 2.9 and Washington Capitals 3.5, about 6.4 goals in total.

How are Washington Capitals playing?

Washington Capitals have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 58 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Minnesota Wild playing?

Minnesota Wild have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Washington Capitals and Minnesota Wild last met?

It ended Minnesota Wild 5, Washington Capitals 0. In the last 2 meetings Washington Capitals won 1 and Minnesota Wild won 1.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals?

Under 8 goals at -373, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Capitals against Wild. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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