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Predictions › Brazil › Mirassol vs Internacional
BrasileiraoFri 16 Oct, 23:00 Brazil time

Mirassol vs Internacional prediction

Estadio Municipal José Maria de Campos Maia

MirassolHome
1.72 : 1.02
expected goals
InternacionalAway
53%Mirassol
25%Draw
22%Internacional
Eagle safe pickMirassol or Draw
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mirassol vs Internacional is Mirassol to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Mirassol or Draw at 1.31.

Prediction
Mirassol to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Mirassol 1.7, Internacional 1.0
Best bet
Mirassol or Draw at 1.31
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mirassol or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mirassol to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mirassol 53%, the draw 25% and Internacional 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mirassol took 8 points from their last 5 games and Internacional took 4 from 5. Mirassol come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mirassol won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Internacional won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mirassol score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. Internacional score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Mirassol games and 9 of Internacional games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Mirassol won 2 and Internacional won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Internacional 1, Mirassol 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Mirassol or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mirassolrecent form+1%
  • Internacionalrecent form-4%
Mirassol form W D W L DInternacional form L W L L LHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mirassol vs Internacional: Mirassol are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mirassol host Internacional in the Brasileirao on Fri 16 Oct, 23:00 at Estadio Municipal José Maria de Campos Maia. Our prediction for Mirassol vs Internacional is Mirassol to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Mirassol or Draw at 1.31.

Mirassol form

Mirassol have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, D, newest first.

Internacional form

Internacional have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Mirassol won 2, Internacional won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Internacional 1, Mirassol 2.

Our call

We expect Mirassol to score about 1.7 goals and Internacional about 1.0. That points to Mirassol to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Mirassol or Draw at 1.31. Our bold bet is Mirassol to win and Over 2.5 at 3.10.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MirassolInternacional
Games played2020
Wins74
Draws78
Losses68
Goals scored2323
Goals conceded2627
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game1.31.4
Home record5W 4D 1L2W 5D 3L
Away record2W 3D 5L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals40%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.94
Over 3.5 goals29%3.39
Both teams to score53%1.88
Mirassol or Draw78%1.28
Internacional or Draw47%2.13
Mirassol to win and Over 2.533%3.03
Internacional to win and Over 2.513%8.00
Mirassol clean sheet36%2.78
Internacional clean sheet18%5.57

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%
1-010.4%
2-19.7%
2-09.5%
0-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mirassol vs Internacional?

Our prediction for Mirassol vs Internacional is Mirassol to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Mirassol or Draw at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Mirassol vs Internacional?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Mirassol to score 1.7 goals and Internacional 1.0.

Will both teams score in Mirassol vs Internacional?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Mirassol last 20 games and 12 of Internacional last 20.

How are Mirassol playing?

Mirassol have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, D, newest first.

How are Internacional playing?

Internacional have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Mirassol and Internacional last met?

It ended Internacional 1, Mirassol 2. In the last 2 meetings Mirassol won 2 and Internacional won 0.

What is the best bet for Mirassol vs Internacional?

Mirassol or Draw at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mirassol against Internacional. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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