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Predictions › United States › Missouri State Bears vs Delaware Blue Hens
College FootballTue 20 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Missouri State Bears vs Delaware Blue Hens prediction

Delaware Stadium

Missouri State BearsAway
19.6 : 31.5
projected points
Delaware Blue HensHome
24%Missouri St
76%Delaware
Eagle safe pickDelaware to win
-318

Quick answer

Our prediction for Missouri State Bears vs Delaware Blue Hens is Delaware Blue Hens to win, with a 76% chance. We project Missouri State Bears 19.6 and Delaware Blue Hens 31.5. Our best bet is Delaware to win at -318.

Prediction
Delaware Blue Hens to win
Chance
76%
Projected score
Missouri State Bears 20, Delaware Blue Hens 32
Projected total
51.1 points
Best bet
Delaware to win at -318

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Delaware to win
76% chanceFair price -3182 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Delaware Blue Hens 76% and Missouri State Bears 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Delaware Blue Hens won 2 of their last 5 and Missouri State Bears won 1 of their last 5. Delaware Blue Hens come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Delaware Blue Hens won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Missouri State Bears won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Delaware Blue Hens score 27.6 points a game and let in 30.2. Missouri State Bears score 25.5 and let in 27.7. Their recent games average 57.8 and 53.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Delaware to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Missouri Strest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Missouri State Bears vs Delaware Blue Hens: Delaware Blue Hens are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Delaware Blue Hens host Missouri State Bears in the College Football on Tue 20 Oct, 19:00 at Delaware Stadium. Our prediction for Missouri State Bears vs Delaware Blue Hens is Delaware Blue Hens to win, with a 76% chance. We project Missouri State Bears 19.6 and Delaware Blue Hens 31.5. Our best bet is Delaware to win at -318.

Delaware Blue Hens form

Delaware Blue Hens have 8 wins and 8 losses in their last 16 games, with 442 points scored and 483 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Missouri State Bears form

Missouri State Bears have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 408 points scored and 443 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Missouri State Bears to score about 19.6 points and Delaware Blue Hens about 31.5. That points to Delaware Blue Hens to win. Our safest bet is Delaware to win at -318.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

DelawareMissouri St
Games played1616
Wins87
Losses89
Points scored442408
Points conceded483443
Scored per game27.625.5
Conceded per game30.227.7
Home record7W 2L4W 4L
Away record1W 6L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Delaware spreadCoversFair
Delaware -18.534%+192
Delaware -14.544%+128
Delaware -11.551%-105
Delaware -8.559%-142
Delaware -4.568%-213
Total pointsOverUnder
44.566%34%
48.556%44%
51.549%51%
54.542%58%
58.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Delaware +3.5 wins if Delaware win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Missouri State Bears vs Delaware Blue Hens?

Our prediction for Missouri State Bears vs Delaware Blue Hens is Delaware Blue Hens to win, with a 76% chance. We project Missouri State Bears 19.6 and Delaware Blue Hens 31.5. Our best bet is Delaware to win at -318.

What is the projected score for Missouri State Bears vs Delaware Blue Hens?

We project Missouri State Bears 19.6 and Delaware Blue Hens 31.5, about 51.1 points in total.

How are Delaware Blue Hens playing?

Delaware Blue Hens have 8 wins and 8 losses in their last 16 games, with 442 points scored and 483 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Missouri State Bears playing?

Missouri State Bears have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 408 points scored and 443 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Missouri State Bears vs Delaware Blue Hens?

Delaware to win at -318, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Delaware against Missouri St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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