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Predictions › United States › Missouri State Bears vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 14:00 United States time

Missouri State Bears vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks prediction

AmFirst Stadium

Missouri State BearsAway
19.7 : 35.7
projected points
Jacksonville State GamecocksHome
16%Missouri St
84%Jax State
Eagle safe pickJax State to win
-543

Quick answer

Our prediction for Missouri State Bears vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks is Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win, with a 84% chance. We project Missouri State Bears 19.7 and Jacksonville State Gamecocks 35.7. Our best bet is Jax State to win at -543.

Prediction
Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win
Chance
84%
Projected score
Missouri State Bears 20, Jacksonville State Gamecocks 36
Projected total
55.4 points
Best bet
Jax State to win at -543

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Jax State to win
84% chanceFair price -5432 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Jacksonville State Gamecocks 84% and Missouri State Bears 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 5 of their last 5 and Missouri State Bears won 2 of their last 5. Jacksonville State Gamecocks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 10 of their last 11 games at home. Missouri State Bears won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Jacksonville State Gamecocks score 28.9 points a game and let in 22.2. Missouri State Bears score 25.7 and let in 27.6. Their recent games average 51.1 and 53.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Jax State to win has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Missouri State Bears vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks: Jacksonville State Gamecocks are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Jacksonville State Gamecocks host Missouri State Bears in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 14:00 at AmFirst Stadium. Our prediction for Missouri State Bears vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks is Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win, with a 84% chance. We project Missouri State Bears 19.7 and Jacksonville State Gamecocks 35.7. Our best bet is Jax State to win at -543.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks form

Jacksonville State Gamecocks have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 578 points scored and 444 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Missouri State Bears form

Missouri State Bears have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 514 points scored and 551 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Missouri State Bears to score about 19.7 points and Jacksonville State Gamecocks about 35.7. That points to Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win. Our safest bet is Jax State to win at -543.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Jax StateMissouri St
Games played2020
Wins159
Losses511
Points scored578514
Points conceded444551
Scored per game28.925.7
Conceded per game22.227.6
Home record10W 1L6W 4L
Away record5W 4L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Jax State spreadCoversFair
Jax State -23.532%+211
Jax State -19.542%+141
Jax State -16.549%+104
Jax State -13.556%-129
Jax State -9.566%-194
Total pointsOverUnder
48.567%33%
52.557%43%
55.550%50%
58.542%58%
62.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Jax State +3.5 wins if Jax State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Missouri State Bears vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks?

Our prediction for Missouri State Bears vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks is Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win, with a 84% chance. We project Missouri State Bears 19.7 and Jacksonville State Gamecocks 35.7. Our best bet is Jax State to win at -543.

What is the projected score for Missouri State Bears vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks?

We project Missouri State Bears 19.7 and Jacksonville State Gamecocks 35.7, about 55.4 points in total.

How are Jacksonville State Gamecocks playing?

Jacksonville State Gamecocks have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 578 points scored and 444 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Missouri State Bears playing?

Missouri State Bears have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 514 points scored and 551 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Missouri State Bears vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks?

Jax State to win at -543, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Jax State against Missouri St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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