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Predictions › Japan › Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
J1 LeagueSat 31 Oct, 05:00 Japan time

Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction

Kasamatsu Stadium

Mito HollyhockHome
0.84 : 1.71
expected goals
Sanfrecce HiroshimaAway
18%Mito Hollyhock
25%Draw
57%Sanfreece
Eagle safe pickSanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.22.

Prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Mito Hollyhock 0.8, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.7
Best bet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.22
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mito Hollyhock 18%, the draw 25% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mito Hollyhock took 1 point from their last 5 games and Sanfrecce Hiroshima took 12 from 5. Sanfrecce Hiroshima come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mito Hollyhock won 2 of their last 12 games at home. Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.8. Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.2 and let in 0.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Mito Hollyhock games and 11 of Sanfrecce Hiroshima games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mito Hollyhockrecent form-4%
  • Sanfreecerecent form+3%
Mito Hollyhock form D L L L DSanfreece form D W W W LHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Sanfrecce Hiroshima are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mito Hollyhock host Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League on Sat 31 Oct, 05:00 at Kasamatsu Stadium. Our prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.22.

Mito Hollyhock form

Mito Hollyhock have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Mito Hollyhock to score about 0.8 goals and Sanfrecce Hiroshima about 1.7. That points to Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.22. Our bold bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.5 at 3.10.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Mito HollyhockSanfreece
Games played2020
Wins314
Draws54
Losses122
Goals scored2144
Goals conceded3514
Scored per game1.12.2
Conceded per game1.80.7
Home record2W 3D 7L8W 2D 0L
Away record1W 2D 5L6W 2D 2L
Clean sheets5%50%
Both teams scored60%45%
Over 2.5 goals45%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.13
Over 3.5 goals25%3.95
Both teams to score47%2.11
Mito Hollyhock or Draw43%2.33
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw82%1.22
Mito Hollyhock to win and Over 2.59%11.09
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.533%3.02
Mito Hollyhock clean sheet18%5.50
Sanfrecce Hiroshima clean sheet43%2.33

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-112.6%
1-111.9%
0-211.3%
1-29.6%
0-08.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Our prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Mito Hollyhock to score 0.8 goals and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.7.

Will both teams score in Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Mito Hollyhock last 20 games and 9 of Sanfrecce Hiroshima last 20.

How are Mito Hollyhock playing?

Mito Hollyhock have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Sanfrecce Hiroshima playing?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mito Hollyhock against Sanfreece. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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