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Predictions › Japan › Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds
J1 LeagueSat 17 Oct, 07:00 Japan time

Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds prediction

Kasamatsu Stadium

Mito HollyhockHome
1.20 : 1.48
expected goals
Urawa Red DiamondsAway
30%Mito Hollyhock
27%Draw
43%Urawa Reds
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds is Urawa Red Diamonds to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Urawa Red Diamonds to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Mito Hollyhock 1.2, Urawa Red Diamonds 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Urawa Red Diamonds to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.901 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mito Hollyhock 30%, the draw 27% and Urawa Red Diamonds 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mito Hollyhock took 5 points from their last 5 games and Urawa Red Diamonds took 12 from 5. Urawa Red Diamonds come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mito Hollyhock won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Urawa Red Diamonds won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.7. Urawa Red Diamonds score 1.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Mito Hollyhock games and 10 of Urawa Red Diamonds games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Mito Hollyhock won 0 and Urawa Red Diamonds won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Mito Hollyhock 1, Urawa Red Diamonds 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mito Hollyhockrecent form-1%
  • Urawa Redsrecent form+4%
Mito Hollyhock form L L D W DUrawa Reds form W L W W WHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds: Urawa Red Diamonds shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mito Hollyhock host Urawa Red Diamonds in the J1 League on Sat 17 Oct, 07:00 at Kasamatsu Stadium. Our prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds is Urawa Red Diamonds to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Mito Hollyhock form

Mito Hollyhock have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Urawa Red Diamonds form

Urawa Red Diamonds have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Mito Hollyhock won 0, Urawa Red Diamonds won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Mito Hollyhock 1, Urawa Red Diamonds 4.

Our call

We expect Mito Hollyhock to score about 1.2 goals and Urawa Red Diamonds about 1.5. That points to Urawa Red Diamonds to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Urawa Red Diamonds to win and Over 2.5 at 3.90.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Mito HollyhockUrawa Reds
Games played2020
Wins38
Draws73
Losses109
Goals scored2231
Goals conceded3431
Scored per game1.11.6
Conceded per game1.71.6
Home record2W 4D 5L4W 2D 4L
Away record1W 3D 5L4W 1D 5L
Clean sheets5%25%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals40%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%2.00
Over 3.5 goals28%3.56
Both teams to score55%1.83
Mito Hollyhock or Draw57%1.75
Urawa Red Diamonds or Draw70%1.43
Mito Hollyhock to win and Over 2.518%5.71
Urawa Red Diamonds to win and Over 2.526%3.85
Mito Hollyhock clean sheet23%4.39
Urawa Red Diamonds clean sheet30%3.31

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
0-19.4%
1-29.0%
0-07.6%
0-27.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Our prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds is Urawa Red Diamonds to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Mito Hollyhock to score 1.2 goals and Urawa Red Diamonds 1.5.

Will both teams score in Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Mito Hollyhock last 20 games and 12 of Urawa Red Diamonds last 20.

How are Mito Hollyhock playing?

Mito Hollyhock have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Urawa Red Diamonds playing?

Urawa Red Diamonds have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Mito Hollyhock and Urawa Red Diamonds last met?

It ended Mito Hollyhock 1, Urawa Red Diamonds 4. In the last 2 meetings Mito Hollyhock won 0 and Urawa Red Diamonds won 2.

What is the best bet for Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mito Hollyhock against Urawa Reds. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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