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Predictions › Conference League › Mjällby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka
Conference LeagueThu 5 Nov, 17:45 UTC

Mjällby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka prediction

Olympia

Mjällby AIFHome
1.17 : 1.42
expected goals
Borac Banja LukaAway
30%Mjällby
28%Draw
42%Borac
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka is Borac Banja Luka to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Borac Banja Luka to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Mjällby AIF 1.2, Borac Banja Luka 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mjällby AIF 30%, the draw 28% and Borac Banja Luka 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mjällby AIF took 5 points from their last 5 games and Borac Banja Luka took 3 from 2. Mjällby AIF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Mjällby AIF score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.8. Borac Banja Luka score 1.5 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Mjällby AIF games and 1 of Borac Banja Luka games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mjällbyrest between games-5%
Mjällby form D D L W DBorac form D L W W LHome edge in this league 36% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mjällby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka: Borac Banja Luka shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mjällby AIF host Borac Banja Luka in the Conference League on Thu 5 Nov, 17:45 at Olympia. Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka is Borac Banja Luka to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Mjällby AIF form

Mjällby AIF have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Borac Banja Luka form

Borac Banja Luka have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 2 games, with 3 goals scored and 2 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 2 results read W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Mjällby AIF to score about 1.2 goals and Borac Banja Luka about 1.4. That points to Borac Banja Luka to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.58.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MjällbyBorac
Games played202
Wins21
Draws80
Losses101
Goals scored193
Goals conceded352
Scored per game0.91.5
Conceded per game1.81.0
Home record2W 2D 7L1W 0D 0L
Away record0W 6D 3L0W 0D 1L
Clean sheets10%50%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals35%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.08
Over 3.5 goals26%3.81
Both teams to score53%1.88
Mjällby AIF or Draw58%1.72
Borac Banja Luka or Draw70%1.44
Mjällby AIF to win and Over 2.517%5.81
Borac Banja Luka to win and Over 2.525%4.07
Mjällby AIF clean sheet24%4.14
Borac Banja Luka clean sheet31%3.23

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
0-19.9%
1-28.8%
0-08.2%
1-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mjällby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka?

Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka is Borac Banja Luka to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Mjällby AIF to score 1.2 goals and Borac Banja Luka 1.4.

Will both teams score in Mjällby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Mjällby AIF last 20 games and 1 of Borac Banja Luka last 2.

How are Mjällby AIF playing?

Mjällby AIF have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Borac Banja Luka playing?

Borac Banja Luka have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 2 games, with 3 goals scored and 2 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 2 results read W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Mjällby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mjällby against Borac. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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