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Predictions › Sweden › Mjällby AIF vs Degerfors IF
AllsvenskanSat 10 Oct, 15:30 Sweden time

Mjällby AIF vs Degerfors IF prediction

Strandvallen

Mjällby AIFHome
1.24 : 1.15
expected goals
Degerfors IFAway
38%Mjällby
29%Draw
33%Degerfors
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Degerfors IF is Mjällby AIF to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Mjällby AIF to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Mjällby AIF 1.2, Degerfors IF 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.221 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mjällby AIF 38%, the draw 29% and Degerfors IF 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mjällby AIF took 2 points from their last 5 games and Degerfors IF took 3 from 5. Degerfors IF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mjällby AIF won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Degerfors IF won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mjällby AIF score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Degerfors IF score 0.8 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Mjällby AIF games and 7 of Degerfors IF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Mjällby AIF won 2 and Degerfors IF won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Degerfors IF 1, Mjällby AIF 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mjällbyrecent form-4%
  • Degerforsrecent form-4%
Mjällby form L D D L LDegerfors form L L W L LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mjällby AIF vs Degerfors IF: Mjällby AIF shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mjällby AIF host Degerfors IF in the Allsvenskan on Sat 10 Oct, 15:30 at Strandvallen. Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Degerfors IF is Mjällby AIF to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Mjällby AIF form

Mjällby AIF have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Degerfors IF form

Degerfors IF have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Mjällby AIF won 2, Degerfors IF won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Degerfors IF 1, Mjällby AIF 4.

Our call

We expect Mjällby AIF to score about 1.2 goals and Degerfors IF about 1.1. That points to Mjällby AIF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.22.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MjällbyDegerfors
Games played2020
Wins54
Draws74
Losses812
Goals scored2716
Goals conceded3331
Scored per game1.40.8
Conceded per game1.61.6
Home record3W 1D 6L3W 2D 5L
Away record2W 6D 2L1W 2D 7L
Clean sheets20%10%
Both teams scored55%40%
Over 2.5 goals50%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.44
Over 2.5 goals43%2.34
Over 3.5 goals22%4.58
Both teams to score49%2.03
Mjällby AIF or Draw67%1.49
Degerfors IF or Draw62%1.61
Mjällby AIF to win and Over 2.520%5.00
Degerfors IF to win and Over 2.517%5.80
Mjällby AIF clean sheet32%3.14
Degerfors IF clean sheet29%3.46

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%
1-010.6%
0-010.0%
0-19.7%
2-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mjällby AIF vs Degerfors IF?

Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Degerfors IF is Mjällby AIF to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Degerfors IF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Mjällby AIF to score 1.2 goals and Degerfors IF 1.1.

Will both teams score in Mjällby AIF vs Degerfors IF?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Mjällby AIF last 20 games and 8 of Degerfors IF last 20.

How are Mjällby AIF playing?

Mjällby AIF have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Degerfors IF playing?

Degerfors IF have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Mjällby AIF and Degerfors IF last met?

It ended Degerfors IF 1, Mjällby AIF 4. In the last 2 meetings Mjällby AIF won 2 and Degerfors IF won 0.

What is the best bet for Mjällby AIF vs Degerfors IF?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.31, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mjällby against Degerfors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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