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Predictions › Sweden › Mjällby AIF vs GAIS
AllsvenskanSun 20 Sept, 14:30 Sweden time

Mjällby AIF vs GAIS prediction

Strandvallen

Mjällby AIFHome
1.09 : 1.25
expected goals
GAISAway
31%Mjällby
29%Draw
39%GAIS
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs GAIS is GAIS to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
GAIS to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Mjällby AIF 1.1, GAIS 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.201 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mjällby AIF 31%, the draw 29% and GAIS 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mjällby AIF took 4 points from their last 5 games and GAIS took 7 from 5. GAIS come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mjällby AIF won 3 of their last 10 games at home. GAIS won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mjällby AIF score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.7. GAIS score 1.3 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Mjällby AIF games and 7 of GAIS games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Mjällby AIF won 0 and GAIS won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended GAIS 0, Mjällby AIF 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mjällbyrecent form-6%
  • Mjällbyrest between games-5%
Mjällby form D L L L LGAIS form D W L L WHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mjällby AIF vs GAIS: GAIS shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mjällby AIF host GAIS in the Allsvenskan on Sun 20 Sept, 14:30 at Strandvallen. Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs GAIS is GAIS to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

Mjällby AIF form

Mjällby AIF have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

GAIS form

GAIS have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Mjällby AIF won 0, GAIS won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished GAIS 0, Mjällby AIF 0.

Our call

We expect Mjällby AIF to score about 1.1 goals and GAIS about 1.3. That points to GAIS to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.20.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MjällbyGAIS
Games played2020
Wins57
Draws66
Losses97
Goals scored2625
Goals conceded3418
Scored per game1.31.3
Conceded per game1.70.9
Home record3W 1D 6L5W 4D 2L
Away record2W 5D 3L2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets20%45%
Both teams scored50%35%
Over 2.5 goals50%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.45
Over 2.5 goals42%2.40
Over 3.5 goals21%4.75
Both teams to score48%2.07
Mjällby AIF or Draw61%1.65
GAIS or Draw69%1.46
Mjällby AIF to win and Over 2.516%6.28
GAIS to win and Over 2.520%4.88
Mjällby AIF clean sheet29%3.51
GAIS clean sheet34%2.98

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%
0-111.2%
0-010.3%
1-09.7%
1-28.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Mjällby AIF vs GAIS?

Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs GAIS is GAIS to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Mjällby AIF vs GAIS?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Mjällby AIF to score 1.1 goals and GAIS 1.3.

Will both teams score in Mjällby AIF vs GAIS?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Mjällby AIF last 20 games and 7 of GAIS last 20.

How are Mjällby AIF playing?

Mjällby AIF have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are GAIS playing?

GAIS have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Mjällby AIF and GAIS last met?

It ended GAIS 0, Mjällby AIF 0. In the last 1 meeting Mjällby AIF won 0 and GAIS won 0.

What is the best bet for Mjällby AIF vs GAIS?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mjällby against GAIS. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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